In: Statistics and Probability
1. Point vs. Interval Estimation
Here you will discuss the importance of constructing
confidence intervals for the population mean. You want to be sure
to address these questions:
What are confidence intervals?
What is a point estimate?
What is the best point estimate for the population
mean? Explain why it is the best.
Why do we need confidence intervals?
2. Mean Estimation
First clearly give the best point estimate for
the population mean the data was drawn from. Next you will
construct two confidence intervals:
a 95% confidence interval and
a 99% confidence interval. Bear in mind
that the population standard deviation is unknown, but
you may assume that the population is approximately normally
distributed. Please show your work for the construction of these
confidence intervals. If you used technology or a calculator please
explain what you used and how you got your intervals.
3. Interpretation and Conclusion
Write a paragraph that correctly interprets the
confidence intervals in context of your selected topic. You should
use the standard language we always use when interpreting a
confidence interval in plain English (or something close to it).
Compare and contrast your findings for the 95% and 99% confidence
intervals. Did you notice any changes in your interval estimate? Be
specific. What conclusion(s) can be drawn about your interval
estimates when the confidence level is increased? Explain why you
draw this conclusion.
Be sure to number each section in your paper using the same
numbers as above. Remember that this should read like a paper, not
a series of bullet points. If I was your supervisor, submit the
paper as you would an analysis/report to your boss. It should be
neat and professionally formatted.
G
1. Point vs. Interval Estimation
What are confidence intervals?
A confidence interval is a type of interval estimate, computed from the statistics of the observed data, that might contain the true value of an unknown population parameter.
What is a point estimate?
It is a single value given as an estimate of a parameter of a population.
What is the best point estimate for the population mean?
Sample mean is the best point estimate for the population mean because it has the lowest variance of all the estimates and also it is an unbiased estimate of population mean.
Why do we need confidence intervals?
The purpose of confidence intervals is to give us a range of values for our estimated population parameter rather than a single value or a point estimate. The estimated confidence interval gives us a range of values within which we believe with certain probability (confidence level), that the true population value falls.
2. Mean Estimation
95% confidence interval :
99% confidence interval :
3. Interpretation and Conclusion
We can see that 95% confidence interval is narrower than 99% confidence interval.
Hence, as the confidence level increases the width of the confidence interval also increases.
So, If we require a narrow confidence interval we need to take a lower confidence interval as well.