In: Finance
Portfolios |
---------------------------Weights---------------------------- |
|||||||
LGGR |
LGVAL |
SMGR |
SMVAL |
INTL |
m |
s |
Prob(<0) |
|
Eq-Wtd |
0.200 |
0.200 |
0.200 |
0.200 |
0.200 |
0.126 |
0.161 |
0.241 |
Prop-Wtd |
0.350 |
0.350 |
0.100 |
0.100 |
0.100 |
0.129 |
0.158 |
0.230 |
Tilt |
0.300 |
0.400 |
0.050 |
0.150 |
0.100 |
0.132 |
0.153 |
0.216 |
l = 1 |
0.000 |
0.347 |
0.000 |
0.653 |
0.000 |
0.145 |
0.156 |
0.197 |
l = 2 |
0.000 |
0.622 |
0.000 |
0.378 |
0.000 |
0.142 |
0.149 |
0.190 |
Min Var. |
0.000 |
0.632 |
0.000 |
0.041 |
0.327 |
0.126 |
0.138 |
0.198 |
Max Ret. |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
1.000 |
0.000 |
0.148 |
0.170 |
0.216 |
LGGR = Large Cap Growth .Stocks LGVL = Large Cap Value Stocks , SMGR - Small Cap Growth Stocks, SMVL = Small Cap Value Stocks . INTL = International Stocks. M = Expected Market Return of Portfolio . S = Standard deviation of the Returns , and Prob = Probability of Returns being negative.
1.The first row shows an equally weighted portfolio across large/Small Caps as well as Growth/Value stocks with expected market return = 12.6% , and Standard deviation 16.1% . It also shows probability of negative return @24.1% which is the highest .
2. This portfolio has a larger 35% weight to Large Value and Large Growth and lower 10% each to Small Growth and Small Value as well as international stocks. Mean Return 12.9% with deviation 15.3% and Prob of negative return 21.6% . This is large cap oriented
3.Tilted towards Value ( 40+15%)=55% .Growth 35% and International 10%
4.L1 seems to be 100% value portfolio with 65% to small value and balance Large Value. No Large or International.
5.L2 seems to 100% value but skewed towards large cap value @62.2%.
6. This portfolio is also 100% Value with 63.2% on Large Cap.This allocation gives the Min Variation 13.8% but has one of the lowest returns of 12.6% ( along with Eq wtd) .
7. This is a 100% allocation to SmallCap Value stocks resulting in Max return of 14.8% but it has the highest variance of 17%
Conclusion is the highest returns comes with highest variation ( volatility/risk) whereas if one wants to minimize risk then the returns are the lowest. also to minimize probability of negative return chose L2 ( value portfolio) which has the lowest at 19% .