In: Statistics and Probability
The value of a sports franchise is directly related to the amount of revenue that a franchise can generate. The file here represents the value in 2013 (in $millions) and the annual revenue (in $millions) for the 30 Major League Baseball franchises. (Data extracted from www.forbes.com/mlb-valuations/list.) Suppose you want to develop a simple linear regression model to predict franchise value based on annual revenue generated. What are the values for (1) the proportion of variation in value of a sports franchise that is explained by annual revenue , (2) the sum of squares Y , (3) the sum of squares predicted , (4) the sum of squares error , (5) the intercept A , (6) the slope b , (7) the predicted value of a sports franchise (in $millions) that generates $300 millions of annual revenue , and (8) the standard error of estimate ?
| Team | Revenue | Value | 
| Baltimore | 206 | 618 | 
| Boston | 336 | 1312 | 
| Chicago White Sox | 216 | 692 | 
| Cleveland | 186 | 559 | 
| Detroit | 238 | 643 | 
| Kansas City | 169 | 457 | 
| Los Angeles Angels | 239 | 718 | 
| Minnesota | 214 | 578 | 
| New York Yankees | 471 | 2300 | 
| Oakland | 173 | 468 | 
| Seattle | 215 | 644 | 
| Tampa Bay | 167 | 451 | 
| Texas | 239 | 764 | 
| Toronto | 203 | 568 | 
| Arizona | 195 | 584 | 
| Atlanta | 225 | 629 | 
| Chicago Cubs | 274 | 1000 | 
| Cincinnati | 202 | 546 | 
| Colorado | 199 | 537 | 
| Houston | 196 | 626 | 
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 245 | 1615 | 
| Miami | 195 | 520 | 
| Milwaukee | 201 | 562 | 
| New York Mets | 232 | 811 | 
| Philadelphia | 279 | 893 | 
| Pittsburgh | 178 | 479 | 
| St. Louis | 236 | 716 | 
| San Diego | 189 | 600 | 
| San Francisco | 262 | 786 | 
| Washington | 225 | 631 | 
(1) the proportion of variation in value of a sports franchise that is explained by annual revenue ,
0.822
(2) the sum of squares Y ,
42,96,009.3667
(3) the sum of squares predicted ,
35,30,836.8306
(4) the sum of squares error ,
7,65,172.5361
(5) the intercept A ,
-601.9291
(6) the slope b ,
5.9316
(7) the predicted value of a sports franchise (in $millions) that generates $300 millions of annual revenue ,
1,177.566
and (8) the standard error of estimate ?
165.311
The regression output is:
| r² | 0.822 | |||||
| r | 0.907 | |||||
| Std. Error | 165.311 | |||||
| n | 30 | |||||
| k | 1 | |||||
| Dep. Var. | Value | |||||
| ANOVA table | ||||||
| Source | SS | df | MS | F | p-value | |
| Regression | 35,30,836.8306 | 1 | 35,30,836.8306 | 129.20 | 5.29E-12 | |
| Residual | 7,65,172.5361 | 28 | 27,327.5906 | |||
| Total | 42,96,009.3667 | 29 | ||||
| Regression output | confidence interval | |||||
| variables | coefficients | std. error | t (df=28) | p-value | 95% lower | 95% upper | 
| Intercept | -601.9291 | |||||
| Revenue | 5.9316 | 0.5218 | 11.367 | 5.29E-12 | 4.8627 | 7.0006 | 
| Predicted values for: Value | ||||||
| 95% Confidence Interval | 95% Prediction Interval | |||||
| Revenue | Predicted | lower | upper | lower | upper | Leverage | 
| 300 | 1,177.566 | 1,077.870 | 1,277.261 | 824.571 | 1,530.560 | 0.087 |