Question

In: Statistics and Probability

Date Close 7/3/2017 898.700012 7/5/2017 911.710022 7/6/2017 906.690002 7/7/2017 918.590027 7/10/2017 928.799988 7/11/2017 930.090027 7/12/2017 943.830017...

Date Close
7/3/2017 898.700012
7/5/2017 911.710022
7/6/2017 906.690002
7/7/2017 918.590027
7/10/2017 928.799988
7/11/2017 930.090027
7/12/2017 943.830017
7/13/2017 947.159973
7/14/2017 955.98999
7/17/2017 953.419983
7/18/2017 965.400024
7/19/2017 970.890015
7/20/2017 968.150024
7/21/2017 972.919983
7/24/2017 980.340027
7/25/2017 950.700012
7/26/2017 947.799988
7/27/2017 934.090027
7/28/2017 941.530029
7/31/2017 930.5
8/1/2017 930.830017
8/2/2017 930.390015
8/3/2017 923.650024
8/4/2017 927.960022
8/7/2017 929.359985
8/8/2017 926.789978
8/9/2017 922.900024
8/10/2017 907.23999
8/11/2017 914.390015
8/14/2017 922.669983
8/15/2017 922.219971
8/16/2017 926.960022
8/17/2017 910.97998
8/18/2017 910.669983
8/21/2017 906.659973
8/22/2017 924.690002
8/23/2017 927
8/24/2017 921.280029
8/25/2017 915.890015
8/28/2017 913.809998
8/29/2017 921.289978
8/30/2017 929.570007
8/31/2017 939.330017
9/1/2017 937.340027
9/5/2017 928.450012
9/6/2017 927.809998
9/7/2017 935.950012
9/8/2017 926.5
9/11/2017 929.080017
9/12/2017 932.070007
9/13/2017 935.090027
9/14/2017 925.109985
9/15/2017 920.289978
9/18/2017 915
9/19/2017 921.809998
9/20/2017 931.580017
9/21/2017 932.450012
9/22/2017 928.530029
9/25/2017 920.969971
9/26/2017 924.859985
9/27/2017 944.48999
9/28/2017 949.5
9/29/2017 959.109985
10/2/2017 953.27002
10/3/2017 957.789978
10/4/2017 951.679993
10/5/2017 969.960022
10/6/2017 978.890015
10/9/2017 977
10/10/2017 972.599976
10/11/2017 989.25
10/12/2017 987.830017
10/13/2017 989.679993
10/16/2017 992
10/17/2017 992.179993
10/18/2017 992.809998
10/19/2017 984.450012
10/20/2017 988.200012
10/23/2017 968.450012
10/24/2017 970.539978
10/25/2017 973.330017
10/26/2017 972.559998
10/27/2017 1019.27002
10/30/2017 1017.109985
10/31/2017 1016.640015
11/1/2017 1025.5
11/2/2017 1025.579956
11/3/2017 1032.47998
11/6/2017 1025.900024
11/7/2017 1033.329956
11/8/2017 1039.849976
11/9/2017 1031.26001
11/10/2017 1028.069946
11/13/2017 1025.75
11/14/2017 1026
11/15/2017 1020.909973
11/16/2017 1032.5
11/17/2017 1019.090027
11/20/2017 1018.380005
11/21/2017 1034.48999
11/22/2017 1035.959961
11/24/2017 1040.609985
11/27/2017 1054.209961
11/28/2017 1047.410034
11/29/2017 1021.659973
11/30/2017 1021.409973
12/1/2017 1010.169983
12/4/2017 998.679993
12/5/2017 1005.150024
12/6/2017 1018.380005
12/7/2017 1030.930054
12/8/2017 1037.050049
12/11/2017 1041.099976
12/12/2017 1040.47998
12/13/2017 1040.609985
12/14/2017 1049.150024
12/15/2017 1064.189941
12/18/2017 1077.140015
12/19/2017 1070.680054
12/20/2017 1064.949951
12/21/2017 1063.630005
12/22/2017 1060.119995
12/26/2017 1056.73999
12/27/2017 1049.369995
12/28/2017 1048.140015
12/29/2017 1046.400024
1/2/2018 1065
1/3/2018 1082.47998
1/4/2018 1086.400024
1/5/2018 1102.22998
1/8/2018 1106.939941
1/9/2018 1106.26001
1/10/2018 1102.609985
1/11/2018 1105.52002
1/12/2018 1122.26001
1/16/2018 1121.76001
1/17/2018 1131.97998
1/18/2018 1129.790039
1/19/2018 1137.51001
1/22/2018 1155.810059
1/23/2018 1169.969971
1/24/2018 1164.23999
1/25/2018 1170.369995
1/26/2018 1175.839966
1/29/2018 1175.579956
1/30/2018 1163.689941
1/31/2018 1169.939941
2/1/2018 1167.699951
2/2/2018 1111.900024
2/5/2018 1055.800049
2/6/2018 1080.599976
2/7/2018 1048.579956
2/8/2018 1001.52002
2/9/2018 1037.780029
2/12/2018 1051.939941
2/13/2018 1052.099976
2/14/2018 1069.699951
2/15/2018 1089.52002
2/16/2018 1094.800049
2/20/2018 1102.459961
2/21/2018 1111.339966
2/22/2018 1106.630005
2/23/2018 1126.790039
2/26/2018 1143.75
2/27/2018 1118.290039
2/28/2018 1104.72998
3/1/2018 1069.52002
3/2/2018 1078.920044
3/5/2018 1090.930054
3/6/2018 1095.060059
3/7/2018 1109.640015
3/8/2018 1126
3/9/2018 1160.040039
3/12/2018 1164.5
3/13/2018 1138.170044
3/14/2018 1149.48999
3/15/2018 1149.579956
3/16/2018 1135.72998
3/19/2018 1099.819946
3/20/2018 1097.709961
3/21/2018 1090.880005
3/22/2018 1049.079956
3/23/2018 1021.570007
3/26/2018 1053.209961
3/27/2018 1005.099976
3/28/2018 1004.559998
3/29/2018 1031.790039
4/2/2018 1006.469971
4/3/2018 1013.409973
4/4/2018 1025.140015
4/5/2018 1027.810059
4/6/2018 1007.039978
4/9/2018 1015.450012
4/10/2018 1031.640015
4/11/2018 1019.969971
4/12/2018 1032.51001
4/13/2018 1029.27002
4/16/2018 1037.97998
4/17/2018 1074.160034
4/18/2018 1072.079956
4/19/2018 1087.699951
4/20/2018 1072.959961
4/23/2018 1067.449951
4/24/2018 1019.97998
4/25/2018 1021.179993
4/26/2018 1040.040039
4/27/2018 1030.050049
4/30/2018 1017.330017
5/1/2018 1037.310059
5/2/2018 1024.380005
5/3/2018 1023.719971
5/4/2018 1048.209961
5/7/2018 1054.790039
5/8/2018 1053.910034
5/9/2018 1082.76001
5/10/2018 1097.569946
5/11/2018 1098.26001
5/14/2018 1100.199951
5/15/2018 1079.22998
5/16/2018 1081.77002
5/17/2018 1078.589966
5/18/2018 1066.359985
5/21/2018 1079.579956
5/22/2018 1069.72998
5/23/2018 1079.689941
5/24/2018 1079.23999
5/25/2018 1075.660034
5/29/2018 1060.319946
5/30/2018 1067.800049
5/31/2018 1084.98999
6/1/2018 1119.5
6/4/2018 1139.290039
6/5/2018 1139.660034
6/6/2018 1136.880005
6/7/2018 1123.859985
6/8/2018 1120.869995
6/11/2018 1129.98999
6/12/2018 1139.319946
6/13/2018 1134.790039
6/14/2018 1152.119995
6/15/2018 1152.26001
6/18/2018 1173.459961
6/19/2018 1168.060059
6/20/2018 1169.839966
6/21/2018 1157.660034
6/22/2018 1155.47998
6/25/2018 1124.810059
6/26/2018 1118.459961
6/27/2018 1103.97998
6/28/2018 1114.219971
6/29/2018 1115.650024
7/2/2018 1127.459961

Project 3 instructions

Based on Larson & Farber: sections 5.2–5.3

Using the provided data. Assume that the closing prices of the stock form a normally distributed data set. This means that you need to use Excel to find the mean and standard deviation. Then, use those numbers and the methods you learned in sections 5.2–5.3 of the course textbook for normal distributions to answer the questions. Do NOT count the number of data points.

Complete this portion of the assignment within a single Excel file. Show your work or explain how you obtained each of your answers. Answers with no work and no explanation will receive no credit.

Show all work

1) If a person bought 1 share of Google stock within the last year, what is the probability that the stock on that day closed at less than the mean for that year? Hint: You do not want to calculate the mean to answer this one. The probability would be the same for any normal distribution. (5 points)

2) If a person bought 1 share of Google stock within the last year, what is the probability that the stock on that day closed at more than $825? (5 points)

3a) If a person bought 1 share of Google stock within the last year, what is the probability that the stock on that day closed within $50 of the mean for that year? (5 points)

3b) If a person bought 1 share of Google stock within the last year, what is the probability that the stock on that day closed at less than $700 per share. (5 points)

3c) At what prices would Google have to close in order for it to be considered statistically unusual? You will have a low and high value. Use the definition of unusual from the course textbook that is measured as a number of standard deviations. (5 points)

4) What are Quartile 1, Quartile 2, and Quartile 3 in this data set? Use Excel to find these values. This is the only question that you must answer without using anything about the normal distribution. (5 points)

5) Is the normality assumption that was made at the beginning valid? Why or why not? Hint: Does this distribution have the properties of a normal distribution as described in the course textbook? Real data sets are never perfect, however, it should be close. One option would be to construct a histogram like you did in Project 1 to see if it has the right shape. Something in the range of 10 to 12 classes is a good number. (5 points)

There are also 5 points for miscellaneous items like correct date range, correct mean, correct SD, etc.

Solutions

Expert Solution

Using excel command as ,

1) To find mean , =AVERAGE( ....) in blank select data and then hit enter you will get mean .

2) To find standard deviation , Use command as =STDEV(......) in blank select data then hit enter you will get final answer for standard deviation .

---------------

1) If a person bought 1 share of Google stock within the last year, what is the probability that the stock on that day closed at less than the mean for that year?

So here let X= random variable with normal distribution with mean and standard deviation .

Where x = the closing prices of the stock .

So here find , P( X < mean ) .

Here use excel command as =NORMDIS(x, mean , standard deviation , cumulative )

So here plug x= mean = 1033.545, mean = 1033.545, standard deviation =76.635, use cumulative = 1.

So here we get , the probability that the stock on that day closed at less than the mean for that year 0.5.


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