In: Finance
Year |
BV |
EV |
1 |
100 |
120 |
2 |
120 |
137 |
3 |
137 |
122 |
4 |
122 |
98 |
5 |
98 |
100 |
Economy |
Probability |
Return |
Strong |
0.2 |
20.0% |
Weak |
0.7 |
-10.0% |
Mild |
0.1 |
5.0% |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
|
A) 0.1 |
0.12 |
0.07 |
0.15 |
|
B) 0.08 |
0.04 |
0.11 |
0.13 |
E(r ) |
Std Dev |
Weight |
|
0.08 |
0.02 |
0.7 |
|
0.04 |
0.06 |
0.3 |
1) The answer is B. If the variance of ONLY one asset in a two-asset portfolio changes, Covariance between the two assets in the portfolio will change. While calculating covariance using correlation and standard deviation,
Covariance(X,Y) = Correlation(X,Y) * Standard deviation of X * Standard deviation of Y
Variance of X = (Standard deviation of X)2
Variance of Y = (Standard deviation of Y)2
If variance of one asset changes, its standard deviation will change and hence Covariance between the two assets in the portfolio will change.
Weight of the asset whose variance changes will have no changes since calculating weight doesn't require variance.
Variance of the other asset won't change because the assets are not dependent.
2) Answer is Option D.
Calculating Returns:
Year | BV | EV | Formula | Returns |
1 | 100 | 120 | (EV / BV) - 1 = (120/100) -1 | 0.20 or 20% |
2 | 120 | 137 | (EV / BV) - 1 = (137/120) -1 | 0.1417 or 14.17% |
3 | 137 | 122 | (EV / BV) - 1 = (122/137) -1 | -0.1095 or -10.95% |
4 | 122 | 98 | (EV / BV) - 1 = (98/122) -1 | -0.1967 or -19.67% |
5 | 98 | 100 | (EV / BV) - 1 = (100/98) -1 | 0.0204 or 2.04% |
Geometric mean = [(1+R1)*(1+R2)*(1+R3)*(1+R4)*(1+R5)]1/5 - 1 = [(1+0.20)*(1+0.1417)*(1-0.1095)*(1-0.1967)*(1+0.0204)]1/5 - 1 = 0%
3) Answer is option D.
Expected Return = Sum of Probability*Return
Expected Return = (0.2 * 20%) + (0.7 * -10%) + (0.1 * 5%) = -2.5%