In: Statistics and Probability
If X-bar= 95, S = 22, and n = 64, and assuming that the population is normally distributed,
a. Construct a 99% confidence interval for the population mean, μ.
b. Based on your answer to part (a), test the null hypothesis that the population mean μ = 101 vs. the alternative that μ ≠ 101.
c. What is the probability that μ = 101? d. What is the probability that μ > 101?
Solution:-
a) 99% confidence interval for the population mean, μ is C.I = ( 87.916, 102.084).
C.I = 95 + 2.576*2.75
C.I = 95 + 7.084
C.I = ( 87.916, 102.084)
b)
State the hypotheses. The first step is to state the null hypothesis and an alternative hypothesis.
Null hypothesis: u = 101
Alternative hypothesis: u 101
Note that these hypotheses constitute a two-tailed test.
Formulate an analysis plan. For this analysis, the significance level is 0.05. The test method is a one-sample z-test.
Analyze sample data. Using sample data, we compute the standard error (SE), z statistic test statistic (z).
SE = s / sqrt(n)
S.E = 2.75
z = (x - u) / SE
z = - 2.18
where s is the standard deviation of the sample, x is the sample mean, u is the hypothesized population mean, and n is the sample size.
Since we have a two-tailed test, the P-value is the probability that the z statistic less than -2.18 or greater than 2.18.
Thus, the P-value = 0.029.
Interpret results. Since the P-value (0.029) is greater than the significance level (0.01), we cannot reject the null hypothesis.
c) The probability that μ = 101 is 0.0134
x = 101
By applying normal distribution:-
z = 2.1818
P(z = 2.1818) = 0.0134
d) The probability that μ > 101 is 0.0146
x = 101
By applying normal distribution:-
z = 2.1818
P(z > 1.8) = 0.0146