In: Finance
GoodLife stock is currently selling for $25.00 a share but is expected to either decrease to $22.50 or increase to $27.50 a share over the next year. The risk-free rate is 3 percent. What is the current value of a 1-year call option with an exercise price of $25?
| 
 $1.35  | 
||
| 
 $1.58  | 
||
| 
 $1.77  | 
||
| 
 $1.94  | 
||
| 
 $2.03  | 
Solution :
Calculations as per the Binomial Options pricing model for obtaining the value of a call:
| 
 Sl.No.  | 
 Particulars  | 
 Notation  | 
 Value  | 
| 
 1  | 
 Spot Price  | 
 SP0  | 
 $ 25.00  | 
| 
 2  | 
 Exercise Price  | 
 EP  | 
 $ 25.00  | 
| 
 3  | 
 Expected future Spot price – Lower Limit - FP1  | 
 FP1  | 
 $ 22.50  | 
| 
 4  | 
 Expected future Spot price – Upper Limit FP2  | 
 FP2  | 
 $ 27.50  | 
| 
 5  | 
 Value of call at lower limit [ Action = Lapse, Since FP1 < EP. Therefore value = Nil ]  | 
 Cd  | 
 NIL  | 
| 
 6  | 
 Value of call at upper limit [ Action = Exercise, Since FP2 > EP. Therefore value = ( $ 27.50 - $ 25.00 = $ 2.50 ) ]  | 
 Cu  | 
 $ 2.50  | 
| 
 7  | 
 Weight for the lower scenario [FP1 / SP0 ] = ( 22.50 / 25 ) =  | 
 d  | 
 0.9  | 
| 
 8  | 
 Weight for the upper scenario [FP2 / SP0 ] = ( 27.50 / 25 ) =  | 
 u  | 
 1.1  | 
| 
 9  | 
 Risk free rate  | 
 r  | 
 0.03  | 
| 
 10  | 
 Duration of the call  | 
 t  | 
 1 Year  | 
| 
 11  | 
 Future value factor (Continuous Compounding factor) = er * t = e0.03 * 1 = e0.03 = 1.0305 ( Value taken from e tables)  | 
 f  | 
 1.0305  | 
As per the Binomial Option Pricing formula the value of a call is given by the following formula:
Value of a Call = [ ( Cu * [(f-d)/(u-d) ] ) + ( Cd * [ (u-f)/(u-d) ] ) ] / f
Therefore applying the values from the table above to the formula we now have:
= [ ( 2.50*[ (1.0305 - 0.9)/(1.1 – 0.9) ] ) + ( 0 *[ (1.1 – 1.0305 )/( 1.1 – 0.9) ] ) ] / 1.0305
= [ ( 2.50* [ (0.1305)/( 0.2 ) ] ] / 1.0305
= [ 2.50 * 0.6525 ] / 1.0305
= 1.631250 / 1.0305
= 1.582969
= 1.58 ( when rounded off to two decimal places )
Therefore value of a call as per the Binomial Option pricing formula is $ 1.58
Thus the solution is Option 2 = $ 1.58