In: Finance
QUESTION 7
Agritech's stock is currently selling for $45.00 a share but is expected to decrease to either $40.50 or increase to $49.50 a share over the next year. The risk-free rate is 3 percent. What is the current value of a 1-year call option with an exercise price of $45?
$2.84 |
||
$2.62 |
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$2.48 |
||
$2.26 |
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$3.04 |
Step 1 : Fist Find out the Pay off in all States | |||
Upstate Payoff : Cu | = max { 0 , $49.5 - $45 } | ||
= max { 0 , $49.5 - $45 } | |||
= $4.5 | |||
Downstate Payoff : Cd | = max { 0 , Sd - X } | ||
= max { 0 , $40.5 - $45 } | |||
= loss , so option will not be exercise | |||
Step 2 : Calculate Hedge Ratio | |||
H = | Cu - Cd | ||
Su - Sd | |||
Where, | |||
Cu = | Upstate Payoff | ||
Cd = | Downstate Payoff | ||
Su = | Upper Price | ||
Sd = | Lower Price | ||
= | $4.50 - 0 | ||
$49.50 - $40.50 | |||
= | $4.50 / $9 | ||
|
0.50 |
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Step 3 : Hedge Portfolio | ||||||
Upstate = | Hedge Ratio * Su - Cu | |||||
= | 0.50 * 49.5 - 4.5 | |||||
= | 20.25 | |||||
Downstate= | Hedge Ratio * Sd - Cd | |||||
= | 0.50 * 40.5 - 0 | |||||
= | 20.25 | |||||
Step 4 : Find The Present Value | ||||||
Payoff is risk free | ||||||
means rate of return on the portfolio is risk free rate | ||||||
payoff is today is be worth the present value of that payoff | ||||||
PV (20.25) | Payoff | |||||
1 + Risk-free rate | ||||||
$20.25 | ||||||
1.03 | ||||||
= $19.660194 | ||||||
Step 5 : Current Value | ||||||
PV ($20.25) = | Hedge Ratio * So - Co | |||||
$19.660194 = | 0.50 * $45 - Co | |||||
Co = | $22.50 - $19.660194 | |||||
Current Value | $2.84 | |||||
Option | I | |||||