In: Finance
ABC’s the most recent free cash flow (FCF0) is $200 million. The free cash flow is expected to grow at a rate of 40 percent, and 20 percent in the second year. After two years, it is expected to grow forever at a constant rate of 5 percent. The cost of common stock (rs) is 12% and the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is 9%. ABC balance sheet shows $20 million in short term investments that are unrelated to operations. The balance sheet also shows $100 million in debt, $50 million in preferred stocks, and $250 million in common stocks.If the company has 40 million shares of common stocks, what is your best estimate for the stock price per share today? Assume that company's book values of debt and preferred stocks are very close to the market vales.
WACC= | 9.00% | ||||||
Year | Previous year FCF | FCF growth rate | FCF current year | Horizon value | Total Value | Discount factor | Discounted value |
1 | 200 | 40.00% | 280 | 280 | 1.09 | 256.8807 | |
2 | 280 | 20.00% | 336 | 8820 | 9156 | 1.1881 | 7706.42202 |
Long term growth rate (given)= | 5.00% | Value of Enterprise = | Sum of discounted value = | 7963.3 | |||
Where | |||||||
Current FCF =Previous year FCF*(1+growth rate)^corresponding year | |||||||
Total value = FCF + horizon value (only for last year) | |||||||
Horizon value = FCF current year 2 *(1+long term growth rate)/( WACC-long term growth rate) | |||||||
Discount factor=(1+ WACC)^corresponding period | |||||||
Discounted value=total value/discount factor |
Enterprise value = Equity value+ MV of debt+ MV of preferred stock |
- Short term investments |
7963.3 = Equity value+100+50-20 |
Equity value = 7833.3 |
share price = equity value/number of shares |
share price = 7833.3/40 |
share price = 195.83 |