In: Finance
Synovec Co. is growing quickly. Dividends are expected to grow at a rate of 23 percent for the next 3 years, with the growth rate falling off to a constant 5 percent thereafter.
If the required return is 9 percent and the company just paid a $3.60 dividend. what is the current share price?
Step-1, Dividend per share for the next 3 years
Dividend in Year 0 (D0) = $3.60 per share
Dividend in Year 1 (D1) = $4.4280 per share [$3.60 x 123%]
Dividend in Year 2 (D2) = $5.4464 per share [$4.4280 x 123%]
Dividend in Year 3 (D3) = $6.6991 per share [$5.4464 x 123%]
Step-2, Calculation of Stock Price for the Year 3(P3)
Dividend Growth Rate after 3rd year (g) = 5.00%
Required Rate of Return (Ke) = 9.00%
Stock Price for the Year 3 = D3(1 + g) / (Ke – g)
= $6.6991(1 + 0.05) / (0.09 – 0.05)
= $7.0341 / 0.04
= $175.85 per share
Step-3, The Current share price
The Current Stock Price is the aggregate of the Present Value of the future dividend payments and the present value the stock price for the year 4
Year |
Cash flow ($) |
Present Value factor at 9.00% |
Present Value of cash flows ($) |
1 |
4.4280 |
0.91743 |
4.06 |
2 |
5.4464 |
0.84168 |
4.58 |
3 |
6.6991 |
0.77218 |
5.17 |
3 |
175.85 |
0.77218 |
135.79 |
TOTAL |
149.61 |
||
“Hence, the Current Share Price will be $149.61”
NOTE
The Formula for calculating the Present Value Factor is [1/(1 + r)n], Where “r” is the Discount/Interest Rate and “n” is the number of years.