In: Accounting
Synovec Co. is growing quickly. Dividends are expected to grow at a rate of 24 percent for the next three years, with the growth rate falling off to a constant 5 percent thereafter. If the required return is 12 percent, and the company just paid a dividend of $3.85, what is the current share price?
This is question is based on Multiple Growth Dividend Discount Model.
To find out Current share price of Synovec Co we will use the following steps
Note - In the question it is stated that Synovec Co. just paid a $3.85 dividend which means this is D0
Firstly we will calculate Dividend for year 1,2 and 3
Dividend for year 1 or D1 = D0 *(1+growth rate)
D1 = $3.85 *(1+0.24)
D1 = $3.85 * 1.24
D1 = $4.77
Now we will calculate Dividend for year 2
D2 = D1 *(1+growth rate)
D2 = $4.77 * 1.24
D2 = $5.91
Dividend for year 3
D3 = D2 *(1+growth rate)
D3 = $5.91 * 1.24
D3 = $7.33
Now we will calculate value of share in two stages
Stage 1- Explicit Forecast Period (1st 3 years)
Stage 2 - Horizon Period - Beyond 3 years
Dividend for the 4th year or D4 = D3 * (1+growth rate)
Note : Beyond 3 years growth rate is 5%
Therefore D4 = $7.33 * (1+0.05)
$7.33 * 1.05
$7.70
Horizon Price i.e. P3 = D4/(Re - g)
P3 = Price of share in year 3
P3 = $7.70 / (0.12 - 0.05)
P3 = $7.70 / 0.07
P3 = $110
Present Value of P3 = $110 * Discounting factor @ 12 % of year 3
Present Value of P3 = $110 * 0.712
Present Value of P3 = $78.32
Therefore Current share price = Stage 1 + Stage 2
= $14.19 + $78.32
= $92.51
Therefore the Current share price of Synovec Co. is $92.51
(Note - Rounding off to 2 decimal places has been done)