In: Economics
Fairyland has two citizens, Cosmo and Pixie. Each has the same
utility function, U=ln(C) . Both earn $1000 in their full-time
jobs, but both face
some risk of being laid off due to a potential shortage of fairy
dust, in which case they will only earn $250 in an alternate
part-time job. There is a 10% chance that Cosmo will be laid off
and a 30% chance Pixie will be laid off. The Governor
of Fairyland, Jorgen von Strangle, is considering providing
unemployment insurance. In particular, Jorgen is considering two
plans: the first would pay any worker who loses his job $100; the
second would pay any worker who loses his job $600. Both plans
would be financed by collecting a tax from any worker who keeps his
job.
a. Under each plan, how high does Jorgen have to set the tax so
that the government does not lose money on the plan?
b. For the tax from part a, compute the well-being of Cosmo and
Pixie under each plan.
c. For three possible policies (the two plans and the status quo of
no plan), how do Cosmo and Pixie rank the policies, respectively,
in terms of their own well-being.
Given:
Utility Function, U = ln(C)
Amount earn by Cosmo in Full time job, S(C,FT) = $1000
Amount earn by Pixie in Full time job, S(P,FT) = $1000
Amount earn by Cosmo in Part time job, S(C,PT) = $250
Amount earn by Pixie in Part time job, S(P,PT) = $250
Probability of Cosmo being laid off, P1 = 10% => Probability of Cosmo not laid off, P3 = 1-P1 = 90%
Probability of Pixie being laid off, P2 = 30% => Probability of Pixie not laid off, P4 = 1-P2 = 70%
Retirement benefit under plan 1, R1 = $100
Retirement benefit under plan 2, R2 = $600
Part (a)
Let T1, be the tax charged by Jorgen, under Plan 1
Then,
Mean Value of Benefits Paid to Laid off = Mean Value Money Collected from Employed
==> R1*P1 + R1*P2 = T1*P4 + T1*P3
==> $100*(10%) + $100*(30%) = T1*(90% + 70%)
==> $(1000 + 3000)/100 = T1*(160/100)
==> T1 = $4000/160
==> T1 = $25
Hence, Jorgen should charge tax at the rate of $25, so that government does not incur any cost.
Let T2, be the tax charged by Jorgen, under Plan 2
Then, solving as above,
T2 = $150
Part (b)
Wellbeing = Expected Utility
Also,
Expected Utility for Cosmo under plan 1, E1 = P3*ln[S(C,FT) – T1] + P1*ln[S(C,PT) + R1]
==> E1 = 90%*ln(1000 – 25) + 10%*ln(250 + 100)
==> E1 = 0.9*6.88 + 0.1*5.86
==> E1 = 6.78
Similarly,
Expected Utility for Pixie under plan 1, E2 = 6.17
Expected Utility for Cosmo under plan 2, E3 = 6.75
Expected Utility for Pixie under plan 2, E4 = 6.75
Part (c)
In case of no insurance plan,
Expected Utility for Cosmo, E5 = P3*ln[S(C,FT)] + P1*ln[S(C,PT)]
==> E5 = 90%*ln(1000) + 10%*ln(250)
==> E5 = 0.9*6.91 + 0.1*5.52
==> E5 = 6.77
Similarly,
Expected Utility for Pixie, E6 = 6.49
Now,
Cosmo will be most happy when her utility is maximized i.e. max[E1, E3, E5]
=max[6.78, 6.75, 6.77]
= 6.78
Hence, Cosmo will be most happy under Retirement benefit under plan 1
And,
Pixie will be most happy when her utility is maximized i.e. max[E2, E4, E6]
=max[6.17, 6.75, 6.49]
= 6.75
Hence, Pixie will be most happy under Retirement benefit under plan 2