In: Statistics and Probability
Shown below is a portion of an Excel output for regression analysis relating Y (dependent variable) and X (independent variable).
ANOVA |
||||
df |
SS |
|||
Regression |
1 |
39947.80 |
||
Residual (Error) |
10 |
8280.81 |
||
Total |
11 |
48228.61 |
||
Coefficients |
Standard Error |
t Stat |
P-value |
|
Intercept |
69.190 |
26.934 |
2.569 |
0.02795 |
X |
2.441 |
0.351 |
6.946 |
0.00004 |
1. What is the estimated regression equation that relates Y to X? (2 Points)
2. Is the regression relationship significant? Use the p-value approach and alpha = 0.05 to answer this question. (2 Points)
3. What is the estimated value of Y if X = 37? (2 Points)
4. Interpret the meaning of the value of the coefficient of determination which is 0.83. Be very specific. (2 Points)
Show all steps please
Solution:
Given:
ANOVA | ||||
df | SS | |||
Regression | 1 | 39947.8 | ||
Residual (Error) | 10 | 8280.81 | ||
Total | 11 | 48228.61 | ||
Coefficients | Standard Error | t Stat | P-value | |
Intercept | 69.19 | 26.934 | 2.569 | 0.02795 |
X | 2.441 | 0.351 | 6.946 | 0.00004 |
Part 1. What is the estimated regression equation that relates Y to X?
Y = a + b* X
Y = 69.19 + 2.441 * X
Part 2. Is the regression relationship significant?
H0: the regression relationship is NOT significant
Vs
H1: the regression relationship is significant
P-value = 0.00004
Decision Rule: Reject H0, if P-value < 0.05 level of significance, otherwise we fail to reject H0
Since P-value = 0.00004 < 0.05 level of significance, we reject H0.
Thus we conclude that: the regression relationship is significant
Part 3. What is the estimated value of Y if X = 37?
Y = 69.19 + 2.441 * X
Y = 69.19 + 2.441 * 37
Y = 69.19 + 90.317
= 159.507
Part 4. Interpret the meaning of the value of the coefficient of determination which is 0.83.
The coefficient of determination = r2 = 0.83 = 83%
About 83% of the variation in dependent variable Y is explained by linear regression model.