In: Operations Management
1. All forecasts should be rounded to an integer number (regular rounding). Use Excel to do your computations. Each part of the problem should be on a different Excel Sheet/Tab.
Part (a) Use the 6-period moving average method to forecast for these data and for the first six months of the third year. Compute MSD/E, MAD, MAPE, and Bias.
| Month (t) | Model 3 A(t) |
| 1 | 148 |
| 2 | 125 |
| 3 | 78 |
| 4 | 53 |
| 5 | 25 |
| 6 | 29 |
| 7 | 9 |
| 8 | 68 |
| 9 | 84 |
| 10 | 110 |
| 11 | 147 |
| 12 | 120 |
| 13 | 147 |
| 14 | 109 |
| 15 | 96 |
| 16 | 70 |
| 17 | 42 |
| 18 | 36 |
| 19 | 34 |
| 20 | 28 |
| 21 | 71 |
| 22 | 102 |
| 23 | 103 |
| 24 | 144 |
Excel calculation and formulae is shown below



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