In: Finance
Heavy Metal Corporation is expected to generate the following
free cash flows over the next five years:
(in millions)
Year 1 : 54.4
Year 2: 66.2
Year 3: 79.5
Year 4: 73.6
Year 5: 80.2
Thereafter, the free cash flows are expected to grow at the industry average of 4.5% per year. Using the discounted free cash flow model and a weighted average cost of capital of 14.6%:
a. Estimate the enterprise value of Heavy Metal.
b. If Heavy Metal has no excess cash, debt of $304 million, and 41 million shares outstanding, estimate its share price.
| a) | Enterprise value of Heavy Metal. | $ 653.75 | million | ||||
| Working: | |||||||
| As per discounted cash flow basis, value of the enterprise is the present value of future cash flows. | |||||||
| Step-1:Present value of cash flows of next 5 years | |||||||
| Year | Cash flow | Discount factor | Present value | ||||
| a | b | c=1.146^-a | d=b*c | ||||
| 1 | $ 54.4 | 0.8726 | $ 47.47 | ||||
| 2 | $ 66.2 | 0.7614 | $ 50.41 | ||||
| 3 | $ 79.5 | 0.6644 | $ 52.82 | ||||
| 4 | $ 73.6 | 0.5798 | $ 42.67 | ||||
| 5 | $ 80.2 | 0.5059 | $ 40.57 | ||||
| Total | $ 233.94 | ||||||
| Step-2:Present value of cash flows after year 5 | |||||||
| Present value | = | C5*(1+g)/(K-g)*DF5 | Where, | ||||
| = | $ 419.80 | C5 | Cash flow of year 5 | $ 80.2 | |||
| g | Growth rate | 4.50% | |||||
| K | Required return | 14.60% | |||||
| DF5 | Discount factor of year 5 | 0.5059 | |||||
| Step-3:Sum of present value of future cash flows | |||||||
| Sum of present value of future cash flows | = | $ 233.94 | + | $ 419.80 | |||
| = | $ 653.75 | ||||||
| So, value of entrerprise is | $ 653.75 | million | |||||
| b) | Share price | $ 8.53 | |||||
| Working; | |||||||
| Value of enterprise | $ 653.75 | million | |||||
| Less: Debt | $ 304.00 | million | |||||
| Value of Equity | $ 349.75 | million | |||||
| / shares outstanding | 41 | million | |||||
| Share price | $ 8.53 | ||||||