In: Finance
Heavy Metal Corporation is expected to generate the following
free cash flows over the next five years:
(in millions)
Year 1 : 54.4
Year 2: 66.2
Year 3: 79.5
Year 4: 73.6
Year 5: 80.2
Thereafter, the free cash flows are expected to grow at the industry average of 4.5% per year. Using the discounted free cash flow model and a weighted average cost of capital of 14.6%:
a. Estimate the enterprise value of Heavy Metal.
b. If Heavy Metal has no excess cash, debt of $304 million, and 41 million shares outstanding, estimate its share price.
a) | Enterprise value of Heavy Metal. | $ 653.75 | million | ||||
Working: | |||||||
As per discounted cash flow basis, value of the enterprise is the present value of future cash flows. | |||||||
Step-1:Present value of cash flows of next 5 years | |||||||
Year | Cash flow | Discount factor | Present value | ||||
a | b | c=1.146^-a | d=b*c | ||||
1 | $ 54.4 | 0.8726 | $ 47.47 | ||||
2 | $ 66.2 | 0.7614 | $ 50.41 | ||||
3 | $ 79.5 | 0.6644 | $ 52.82 | ||||
4 | $ 73.6 | 0.5798 | $ 42.67 | ||||
5 | $ 80.2 | 0.5059 | $ 40.57 | ||||
Total | $ 233.94 | ||||||
Step-2:Present value of cash flows after year 5 | |||||||
Present value | = | C5*(1+g)/(K-g)*DF5 | Where, | ||||
= | $ 419.80 | C5 | Cash flow of year 5 | $ 80.2 | |||
g | Growth rate | 4.50% | |||||
K | Required return | 14.60% | |||||
DF5 | Discount factor of year 5 | 0.5059 | |||||
Step-3:Sum of present value of future cash flows | |||||||
Sum of present value of future cash flows | = | $ 233.94 | + | $ 419.80 | |||
= | $ 653.75 | ||||||
So, value of entrerprise is | $ 653.75 | million | |||||
b) | Share price | $ 8.53 | |||||
Working; | |||||||
Value of enterprise | $ 653.75 | million | |||||
Less: Debt | $ 304.00 | million | |||||
Value of Equity | $ 349.75 | million | |||||
/ shares outstanding | 41 | million | |||||
Share price | $ 8.53 |