In: Finance
The Ironworks Pegs Corporation, facing a market that is requiring more and more of the square-type pegs as opposed to the round one, is considering a project to start producing square pegs to meet the expected growth in the market demand. In order to produce the new pegs, the company needs to replace an existing old machine that produces round pegs with a new one. The new machine costs $150,000 (including shipping and handling). The old machine has been fully depreciated and the new one would be depreciated on a straight-line basis over its estimated useful life of 15 years. If the decision is made to go ahead with the project the old machine will be sold for $10,000. Annual revenues are expected to be $132,000; cost of goods sold $41,000; operating costs (excluding depreciation) $35,000. The existing operating profit (EBIT) from the old machine is $5,000 per year (which is assumed to continue for the following ten years if the new project does not get the green light). The company estimates the actual productive life of the project at 10 years, after which the new machine would be sold for a salvage value of $80,000. The initial net working capital needed for the expanded operations is estimated at $25,000. The NWC will rise to $35,000 by the end of year one, then to $50,000 by the end of year two. No additional changes in NWC are expected for years three through eight. By the end of year 9, the NWC would be reduced to $30,000 (no theft, spoilage, or obsolescence is assumed to have occurred by the end of year ten). The way the company made all these estimates is by conducting a technical and economic feasibility study that cost $35,000. It also cost $15,000 to market-test the new widgets. The company’s marginal tax rate is 40%. The required rate of return on this investment is 15%.
NET INITIAL INVESTMENT NEEDED: | ||||||||||||||
Cost of Feasibility study and market test are Sunk Costs and not relevant for this analysis | ||||||||||||||
New Machine Costs | $150,000 | |||||||||||||
Less:Salvage value of old machine | $10,000 | |||||||||||||
Net investment for new machine | $140,000 | |||||||||||||
Add:Initial net working capital | $25,000 | |||||||||||||
Net Initial Investment Needed | $165,000 | |||||||||||||
EXPECTED AFTER TAX SALVAGE VALUE OF NEW MACHINE | ||||||||||||||
Annual Depreciation of new machine | $10,000 | (150000/15) | ||||||||||||
Accumulated depreciation in 10 years | $100,000 | (10000*10) | ||||||||||||
Book Value at the end of 10 years | $50,000 | (150000-100000) | ||||||||||||
Salvage Value at end of 10 years | $80,000 | |||||||||||||
Gain on salvage=80000-50000= | $30,000 | |||||||||||||
Tax on Gain =40%*30000= | $12,000 | |||||||||||||
After tax Salvage Value =80000-12000 | $68,000 | |||||||||||||
YEARWISE CASH FLOW: | ||||||||||||||
Present Value of Cash Flow=(Cash Flow)/((1+i)^N) | ||||||||||||||
i=discount rate =required retur =15%=0.15 | ||||||||||||||
N=Year of cash flow | ||||||||||||||
N | YEAR | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | ||
A | Initial Cash Flow | ($165,000) | ||||||||||||
B | Annual Revenue | $132,000 | $132,000 | $132,000 | $132,000 | $132,000 | $132,000 | $132,000 | $132,000 | $132,000 | $132,000 | |||
C | Cost of goods sold | ($41,000) | ($41,000) | ($41,000) | ($41,000) | ($41,000) | ($41,000) | ($41,000) | ($41,000) | ($41,000) | ($41,000) | |||
D | Operating Costs(excluding depreciation) | ($35,000) | ($35,000) | ($35,000) | ($35,000) | ($35,000) | ($35,000) | ($35,000) | ($35,000) | ($35,000) | ($35,000) | |||
E | Depreciation Expense | ($10,000) | ($10,000) | ($10,000) | ($10,000) | ($10,000) | ($10,000) | ($10,000) | ($10,000) | ($10,000) | ($10,000) | |||
F | Earning Before Taxes | $46,000 | $46,000 | $46,000 | $46,000 | $46,000 | $46,000 | $46,000 | $46,000 | $46,000 | $46,000 | |||
G | Loss of Earning from old machine | ($5,000) | ($5,000) | ($5,000) | ($5,000) | ($5,000) | ($5,000) | ($5,000) | ($5,000) | ($5,000) | ($5,000) | |||
H | Net Earning Before Taxes | $41,000 | $41,000 | $41,000 | $41,000 | $41,000 | $41,000 | $41,000 | $41,000 | $41,000 | $41,000 | |||
I=H*40% | Tax Expenses | ($16,400) | ($16,400) | ($16,400) | ($16,400) | ($16,400) | ($16,400) | ($16,400) | ($16,400) | ($16,400) | ($16,400) | |||
J | After tax operating income | $24,600 | $24,600 | $24,600 | $24,600 | $24,600 | $24,600 | $24,600 | $24,600 | $24,600 | $24,600 | |||
K | Add: Depreciation (non cash expenses) | $10,000 | $10,000 | $10,000 | $10,000 | $10,000 | $10,000 | $10,000 | $10,000 | $10,000 | $10,000 | |||
L | Operating Cash Flow | $34,600 | $34,600 | $34,600 | $34,600 | $34,600 | $34,600 | $34,600 | $34,600 | $34,600 | $34,600 | |||
M | Net Working Capital (NCW)Required | $25,000 | $35,000 | $50,000 | $50,000 | $50,000 | $50,000 | $50,000 | $50,000 | $50,000 | $30,000 | $0 | ||
P | Additional Cash Flow for change in NCW | ($10,000) | ($15,000) | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $20,000 | $30,000 | |||
Q | Terminal Cash Flow due to salvage | $68,000 | ||||||||||||
R=A+L+P+Q | NET CASH FLOW | ($165,000) | $24,600 | $19,600 | $34,600 | $34,600 | $34,600 | $34,600 | $34,600 | $34,600 | $54,600 | $132,600 | ||
CUMULATIVE NET CASH FLOW | ($165,000) | ($140,400) | ($120,800) | ($86,200) | ($51,600) | ($17,000) | $17,600 | $52,200 | $86,800 | $141,400 | $274,000 | SUM | ||
PV=R/(1.15^N) | Present Value of NET CASH FLOW | ($165,000) | $21,391 | $14,820 | $22,750 | $19,783 | $17,202 | $14,959 | $13,007 | $11,311 | $15,521 | $32,777 | $18,521 | |
NPV=Sum of PV | NET PRESENT VALUE | $18,521 | ||||||||||||
Pay back period =Period when Cumulative cash flow=0 | ||||||||||||||
Payback Period =5+(17000/34600)= | 5.49 | YEARS | ||||||||||||
Profitability Index=(NPV+Initial Investment)/Initial Investment | ||||||||||||||
Profitability Index=(18521+165000)/165000= | 1.11 | |||||||||||||
Internal Rate of Return | 17.25% | (Using IRR function of excel over NET CASH FLOW) | ||||||||||||
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