Neile looked at his mechanic and sighed. The mechanic had just
pronounced a death sentence on his road-weary car. The car had
served him well---at a cost of $500 it had lasted through four
years of college with minimal repairs. Now, he desperately needs
wheels. He has just graduated, and has a good job at a decent
starting salary. He hopes to purchase his first new car. The car
dealer seems very optimistic about his ability to afford the car
payments, another first for him.
The car Neile is considering is $35,000. The dealer has given
him three payment options:
1. Zero percent financing. Make a $4000 down payment from his
savings and finance the remainder with a 0% APR loan for 48 months.
Neile has more than enough cash for the down payment, thanks to
generous graduation gifs.
2. Rebate with no money down. Receive a $4000 rebate, which he
would use for the down payment (and leave his savings intact), and
finance the rest with a standard 48-month loan, with an 8% APR. He
likes this option, as he could think of many other uses for the
$4000.
3. Pay cash. Get the $4000 rebate and pay the rest with cash.
While Neile doesn’t have $35,000, he wants to evaluate this option.
His parents always paid cash when they bought a family car; Neile
wonders if this really was a good idea.
Neile’s fellow graduate, Henna, was lucky. Her parents gave
her a car for graduation. Okay, it was a little Hyundai, and
definitely not her dream car, but it was serviceable, and Henna
didn’t have to worry about buying a new car. In fact, she has been
trying to decide how much of her new salary she could save. Neile
knows that with a hefty car payment, saving for retirement would be
very low on his priority list. Henna believes she could easily set
aside $3000 of her $45,000 salary. She is considering putting her
savings in a stock fund. She just turned 22 and has a long way to
go until retirement at age 65, and she considers this risk level
reasonable. The fund she is looking at has earned an average of 9%
over the past 15 years and could be expected to continue earning
this amount, on average. While she has no current retirement
savings, five years ago Henna’s grandparents gave her a new 30-year
U.S. Treasury bond with a $10,000 face value.
Henna wants to know her retirement income if she both (1)
sells her Treasury bond at its current market value and invests the
proceeds in the stock fund and (2) saves an additional $3000 at the
end of each year in the stock fund from now until she turns 65.
Once she retires, Henna wants those savings to last for 25 years
until she is 90.
Both Neile and Henna need to determine their best
option.
Required
Q.1: What are the cash flows associated with each of Neile’s
three care financing options?
Q.2: Suppose that, similar to his parents, Neile had plenty of
cash in the bank so that he could easily afford to pay cash for the
car without running into deb now or in the foreseeable future. If
his cash earns interest at a 5.4% APR (based on monthly
compounding) at the bank, what would be his best purchase option
for the car?
Q.3: Suppose Henna’s Treasury bond has a coupon interest rate
of 6.5%, paid semiannually, while current Treasury bonds with the
same maturity date have a yield to maturity of 5.4435% (expressed
as an APR with semiannual compounding). If she has just received
the bond’s 10th coupon, for how much can Henna sell her treasury
bond?
Q.4: Suppose Henna sells the bond, reinvests the proceeds, and
then saves as she planned. If, indeed, Henna earns a 9% annual
return on her savings, how much could she withdraw each year in
retirement? (Assume she begins withdrawing the money from the
account in equal amounts at the end of each year once her
retirement begins.)
Q.5: Henna expects her salary to grow regularly. While there
are no guarantees, she believes an increase of 4% a year is
reasonable. She plans to save $3000 the first year, and then
increase the amount she saves by 4% each year as her salary grows.
Unfortunately, prices will also grow due to inflation. Suppose
Henna assumes there will be 3% inflation every year. In retirement,
she will need to increase her withdrawals each year to keep up with
inflation. In this case, how much can she withdraw at the end of
the first year of her retirement? What amount does this correspond
to in today’s dollars? (Hint: Build a spreadsheet in which you
track the amount in her retirement account each year)
Q.6: Should Henna sell her Treasury bond and invest the
proceeds in the stock fund? Give at least one reason for and
against this plan.