In: Statistics and Probability
A new cream that advertises that it can reduce wrinkles and improve skin was subject to a recent study. A sample of 54 women over the age of 50 used the new cream for 6 months. Of those 54 women, 37 of them reported skin improvement(as judged by a dermatologist). Is this evidence that the cream will improve the skin of more than 40% of women over the age of 50? Test using α=0.05.
Null hypothesis
H0: P= 0.40
          
   
Alternative hypothesis  
H1: P > 0.40
          
   
We have for given example,      
       
Population proportion value is =0.4      
   
x=37          
          
   
n=54          
Level of significance =   0.05  
       
Estimate for sample proportion = 0.6852  
   
          
   
Z test statistic formula for proportion

P value is approximately 0 ..........................by using Excel command =1-NORMSDIST(4.28) or by using Z table.
P value is < 0.05
Therefore, we reject H0.
Conclusion: We have sufficient evidence to say that, the cream will improve the skin of more than 40% of women over the age of 50