In: Finance
You are choosing between two projects. The cash flows for the projects are given in the following table ($ million):
Project |
Year 0 |
Year 1 |
Year 2 |
Year 3 |
Year 4 |
A |
−$49 |
$24 |
$20 |
$18 |
$13 |
B |
−$100 |
$22 |
$38 |
$48 |
$62 |
a. What are the IRRs of the two projects?
b. If your discount rate is
4.6%,
what are the
NPVs
of the two projects?
c. Why do IRR and NPV rank the two projects differently?
(a): IRR is the rate which makes the NPV as nil. I have computed the IRRs using the trial and error approach.
Project A:
Year | Cash flow | 1+r | PVIF | PV = PVIF * cash flow |
0 | - 49.00 | 1.21866 | 1.00 | - 49.00 |
1 | 24.00 | 0.820573 | 19.69 | |
2 | 20.00 | 0.67334 | 13.47 | |
3 | 18.00 | 0.552524 | 9.95 | |
4 | 13.00 | 0.453386 | 5.89 | |
NPV | 0.000000 |
Thus IRR of A = 21.866%
Project B:
Year | Cash flow | 1+r | PVIF | PV = PVIF * cash flow |
0 | - 100.00 | 1.210701 | 1.00 | - 100.00 |
1 | 22.00 | 0.83 | 18.17 | |
2 | 38.00 | 0.68 | 25.92 | |
3 | 48.00 | 0.56 | 27.05 | |
4 | 62.00 | 0.47 | 28.86 | |
NPV | 0.000000 |
Thus B's IRR = 21.07%
A | B | |
IRR | 21.866% | 21.070% |
(b): Using a discount rate of 4.6% we get the following NPVs:
A's NPV
Year | Cash flow | 1+r | PVIF | PV = PVIF * cash flow |
0 | - 49.00 | 1.04600 | 1.00 | - 49.00 |
1 | 24.00 | 0.956023 | 22.94 | |
2 | 20.00 | 0.91398 | 18.28 | |
3 | 18.00 | 0.873786 | 15.73 | |
4 | 13.00 | 0.835359 | 10.86 | |
NPV | 18.811961 |
B's NPV:
Year | Cash flow | 1+r | PVIF | PV = PVIF * cash flow |
0 | - 100.00 | 1.046000 | 1.00 | - 100.00 |
1 | 22.00 | 0.96 | 21.03 | |
2 | 38.00 | 0.91 | 34.73 | |
3 | 48.00 | 0.87 | 41.94 | |
4 | 62.00 | 0.84 | 51.79 | |
NPV | 49.497725 |
A | B | |
NPV ($ million) | 18.81 | 49.50 |
(c): IRR ranks project A as a better project while NPV ranks project B as a better project. This is because in case of A the cash inflows is decreasing every year from the 1st year onwards. However in case of project B the cash inflows are increasing every year from 1st year onwards. This caused the NPV and the IRR method to give contradictory results.