In: Statistics and Probability
A study modeled the GDP per capita of 24 countries using the variables Regulation Index, an index of Ethnolinguistic Diversity, International Trade as a share of GDP, Primary Education rate in %, and 1988 GDP/Capita. Parts of the regression output are shown below.
Dependent variable is: GDP/Capita
s = 2102
Source | Sum of Squares | df | Mean Square | Fratio |
Regression | 2,740,849,111 | 5 | 548,169,822 | 124 |
Residual | 79,502,035 | 18 | 4,416,780 |
Variable | Coefficent | SE Coeff | T-ratio |
Intercept | 10,744.5 | 9425 | 1.14 |
Regulation Index | -1334.98 | 615.2 | -2.17 |
Enthnolinguistic Diversity | -75.9773 | 24.3 | -3.11 |
International Trade | 51.4132 | 16.27 | 3.16 |
Primary Education | -62.7693 | 90.97 | -0.69 |
1988 GDP/Capita | 0.94936 | 0.0421 | 22.55 |
i) Is the model significant? Test using α = 0.10.
ii) Which predictors are significant in the presence of others? Use α = 0.01.
Solution:
i) Is the model significant? Test using α = 0.10.
Answer: To find whether the model is significant or insignificant, we need to find the p-value.
The p-value can be calculated using the Excel function.
Since the p-value is less than 0.10, we, therefore, conclude that the model is significant at 0.10 significance level
ii) Which predictors are significant in the presence of others? Use α = 0.01.
Variable | Coefficent | SE Coeff | T-ratio | P-value |
Intercept | 10,744.50 | 9425 | 1.14 | 0.2692 |
Regulation Index | -1334.98 | 615.2 | -2.17 | 0.0436 |
Enthnolinguistic Diversity | -75.9773 | 24.3 | -3.11 | 0.0060 |
International Trade | 51.4132 | 16.27 | 3.16 | 0.0054 |
Primary Education | -62.7693 | 90.97 | -0.69 | 0.4990 |
1988 GDP/Capita | 0.94936 | 0.0421 | 22.55 | 0.0000 |
The p-value is found using the excel function
Since the p-value of Ethnolinguistic Diversity, International Trade, and 1988 GDP/Capita are less than 0.01, we, therefore, conclude that Ethnolinguistic Diversity, International Trade, and 1988 GDP/Capita are significant predictors.