the fluctuation of business cycle may be cause by various
factors such as
- consumption pattern of people
- political instability of the nation
- policies undertaken and their impact on the
nation.
in general, there is a positive relationship between
the government spending and the increased consumption of the
people.for isntance when the public expenditure increases in the
economy then the unemployment decreases and the level of income in
the economy increases which is spent on various goods and services
in the economy. therefore whenever there is an increase in the
public expenditure in the economy the increased income leads to
increase the consumption process.
the business cycle contains the following phases in the
economy-
- neutral - at this level the economy is
generally at full equilibrium point and is in perfect stage.but
this is a rare situation in the economy.this stage would pass very
quickly and it shows a constant growth of GDP.
- recession-sometimes the government's adverse
policies and lack of demand creates unemployment in the economy and
economy moves down from the earlier point and comes into
recession.the GDP of the nation declines.
- depression-when recession reaches to
its lowest point
then this is known as depression and the period of depression is
generally depending on the efforts and steps taken by the
government and central bank.if the plannings are favorable and
effective there can be a V shape of recovery can be seen.depression
is the worst phase of the economy due to increases NPA,deflationary
gap,lack of investment and jobs.the GDP may be zero and
negative.
- recovery - after the government spending in the economy the
employment increases and thus the icnome of the people and thus
they spend it in the economy for the consumption purpose.the
economy start recovery and reaches again at the
neutral level and GDP shows a growth compare to the
previous level.
- boom- when there is an excess government spending and people
continue to demand more and more goods and services then the
economy is considered to be in Boom period.inflationary gap,over
pricing,over full employment prevails in the economy.the GDP is all
time high compare to the all previous level.