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In: Finance

Sora Industries has 63 million outstanding​ shares, $126 million in​ debt, $48 million in​ cash, and...

Sora Industries has 63 million outstanding​ shares, $126 million in​ debt, $48 million in​ cash, and the following projected free cash flow for the next four​ years:

Year

0

1

2

3

4

Earnings and FCF Forecast​ ($ million)

1

Sales

433.0

468.0

516.0

547.0

574.3

2

Growth vs. Prior Year

​8.1%

​10.3%

​6.0%

​5.0%

3

Cost of Goods Sold

​(313.6)

​(345.7)

​(366.5)

​(384.8)

4

Gross Profit

154.4

170.3

180.5

189.5

5

​Selling, General,​ & Admin.

​(93.6)

​(103.2)

​(109.4)

​(114.9)

6

Depreciation

​(7.0)

​(7.5)

​(9.0)

​(9.5)

7

EBIT

53.8

59.6

62.1

65.2

8

​Less: Income Tax at​ 40%

​(21.5)

​(23.8)

​(24.8)

​(26.1)

9

​Plus: Depreciation

7.0

7.5

9.0

9.5

10

​Less: Capital Expenditures

​(7.7)

​(10.0)

​(9.9)

​(10.4)

11

​Less: Increase in NWC

​(6.3)

​(8.6)

​(5.6)

​(4.9)

12

Free Cash Flow

25.3

24.6

30.8

33.3

a. Suppose​ Sora's revenue and free cash flow are expected to grow at a 3.3% rate beyond year four. If​ Sora's weighted average cost of capital is 9.0%​, what is the value of Sora stock based on this​ information?

b.​ Sora's cost of goods sold was assumed to be​ 67% of sales. If its cost of goods sold is actually​ 70% of​ sales, how would the estimate of the​ stock's value​ change?

c. Return to the assumptions of part ​(a​) and suppose Sora can maintain its cost of goods sold at​ 67% of sales.​ However, the firm reduces its​ selling, general, and administrative expenses from​ 20% of sales to​ 16% of sales. What stock price would you estimate​ now? (Assume no other​ expenses, except​ taxes, are​ affected.)

d.​ Sora's net working capital needs were estimated to be​ 18% of sales​ (their current level in year​ zero). If Sora can reduce this requirement to​ 12% of sales starting in year​ 1, but all other assumptions are as in ​(a​), what stock price do you estimate for​ Sora? ​(Hint​: This change will have the largest impact on​ Sora's free cash flow in year​ 1.)

Solutions

Expert Solution

Ans a.
Sora Industries Amt $Million
Year Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
Free cash flow 25.3 24.6 30.8 33.3
Terminal value of FCF at Yr 4 end with growth rate =g=3.3% , WACC=9%=33.3*1.033/(9%-3.3%)=601.74                601.74
Total Free cash flow & Terminal Value of FCF =                      25.30                           24.60                   30.80                635.04
PV factor @9%=1/1.09^n 0.9174 0.8417 0.7722 0.7084
PV of FCF +Terminal value                      23.21                           20.71                   23.78                449.86
Enterprise value =Sum of PV of FCF+term Value                  517.560
Less Debt                (126.000)
Add : Cash                    48.000
Value of Equity                  439.560
No of outstanding shares in Millions                      63.00
Stock Value =439.560/63= $                    6.98
Ans b. Amt $Million
Year Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
Sales                    468.00                         516.00                547.00                574.30
COGS @70%                  (327.60)                       (361.20)               (382.90)              (402.01)
Gross Profit                    140.40                         154.80                164.10                172.29
SGA expenses                    (93.60)                       (103.20)               (109.40)              (114.90)
Depreciation                      (7.00)                            (7.50)                   (9.00)                   (9.50)
EBIT                      39.80                           44.10                   45.70                  47.89
Less Income Tax @40%                    (15.92)                          (17.64)                 (18.28)                (19.16)
Plus Depreciation                        7.00                              7.50                     9.00                    9.50
Less : Capital Expenditure                      (7.70)                          (10.00)                   (9.90)                (10.40)
Less : Increase in NWC                      (6.30)                            (8.60)                   (5.60)                   (4.90)
Free Cash flow                      16.88                           15.36                   20.92                  22.93
Terminal value of FCF at Yr 4 end with growth rate =g=3.3% , WACC=9%=22.93*1.033/(9%-3.3%)                415.63
Total Free cash flow & Terminal Value of FCF =                      16.88                           15.36                   20.92                438.56
PV factor @9%=1/1.09^n 0.9174 0.8417 0.7722 0.7084
PV of FCF +Terminal value                      15.49                           12.93                   16.15                310.68
Enterprise value =Sum of PV of FCF+term Value                    355.25
Less Debt                (126.000)
Add : Cash                    48.000
Value of Equity                  277.246
No of outstanding shares in Millions                      63.00
Stock Value =277.246/63= $                    4.40

Ans c

Amt $ Million

Year Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
Sales                    468.00                         516.00                547.00                574.30
COGS @67%                    (313.6)                          (345.7)                 (366.5)                (384.8)
Gross Profit                    154.44                         170.28                180.51                189.52
SGA expenses                      (74.9)                            (82.6)                   (87.5)                   (91.9)
Depreciation                      (7.00)                            (7.50)                   (9.00)                   (9.50)
EBIT                      72.56                           80.22                   83.99                  88.13
Less Income Tax @40%                    (29.02)                          (32.09)                 (33.60)                (35.25)
Plus Depreciation                        7.00                              7.50                     9.00                    9.50
Less : Capital Expenditure                      (7.70)                          (10.00)                   (9.90)                (10.40)
Less : Increase in NWC                      (6.30)                            (8.60)                   (5.60)                   (4.90)
Free Cash flow                      36.54                           37.03                   43.89                  47.08
Terminal value of FCF at Yr 4 end with growth rate =g=3.3% , WACC=9%=47.08*1.033/(9%-3.3%)                853.20
Total Free cash flow & Terminal Value of FCF =                      36.54                           37.03                   43.89                900.27
PV factor @9%=1/1.09^n 0.9174 0.8417 0.7722 0.7084
PV of FCF +Terminal value                      33.52                           31.17

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