In: Statistics and Probability
In baseball a teams success is often thought to be a function of the team's hitting and pitching performance. One measure of hitting performance is the number of home runs that team hits, and one measure of pitching performance is the earned run average for the teams pitching staff. It is generally believed that teams that hit more home runs and have a lower earned run average will win a higher percentage of games played. The following data show the proportion of games won, the number of home runs (HR), and the earned run average (ERA) for the 16 teams in the National League for the 2003 Major League Baseball season.
Team | Won | HR | ERA | |||||
Arizona | 0.519 | 152 | 3.857 | |||||
Atlanta | 0.623 | 235 | 4.106 | |||||
Chicago | 0.543 | 172 | 3.842 | |||||
Cincinnati | 0.426 | 182 | 5.127 | |||||
Colorado | 0.457 | 198 | 5.269 | |||||
Florida | 0.562 | 157 | 4.059 | |||||
Houston | 0.537 | 191 | 3.880 | |||||
Los Angeles | 0.525 | 124 | 3.162 | |||||
Milwaukee | 0.420 | 196 | 5.058 | |||||
Montreal | 0.512 | 144 | 4.027 | |||||
New York | 0.410 | 124 | 4.517 | |||||
Philadelphia | 0.531 | 166 | 4.072 | |||||
Pittsburgh | 0.463 | 163 | 4.664 | |||||
San Diego | 0.395 | 128 | 4.904 | |||||
San Francisco | 0.621 | 180 | 3.734 | |||||
St Louis | 0.525 | 196 | 4.642 | |||||
Determine the estimated regression equation that could be used to predict the proportion of games won given the number of team home runs. |
1. Could someone please help me calculate the critical value of the model?
2. Also, I need to find the conclusion. I limited it down to these two. Could you please explain the reason for a or b?
a. Do not reject null hypothesis. there is not significant relationship between HR and wins
b. Do not reject null hypothesis. There is a significant relationship between ERA and wins
Thanks so much for your help. Will give you 5 stars
So, as we can see the mutliple regression equation is as followed:
y=0.71+0.0014x1-0.103x3+e
1. Fcritical= 39.374
2. a) We do not reject the null hypothesis because according to the decision rule when p-value <0.05 the result is significant and we may not reject the null hypothesis. (0.00007< 0.05)
b) Similarly, here we do not reject the null hypothesis because according to the decision rule when p-value <0.05 the result is significant and we may not reject the null hypothesis. (0.0000021< 0.05)