Question

Question 3. Given your analysis in Questions 1 and 2, and the electoral math in Georgia, is it likely that Democrats will be able to flip Georgia from Republican to Democrat in the upcoming presidential election? What happens if Trump can parlay the improved economic condition of Blacks into a modest improvement in the number of Blacks voting Republican? Explain.

Answer 1

A. Congress's upper chamber is viewed as increasingly in play as Republicans defend their 53-47 majority against a slew of well-funded Democratic contenders who are launching challenges in Arizona, Colorado, Maine, North Carolina, Iowa and elsewhere in the midst of widespread uncertainty fueled by a historic pandemic.

The Senate battleground map has expanded in recent weeks to incorporate typically conservative states like Georgia, Kansas and Montana, forcing the GOP to allocate resources to races that might normally be considered safe for Republicans.

Georgia is home to two Senate races that are believed to be relatively competitive. Perdue is running for reelection against several Democrats still competing in a primary, while a "jungle" primary has exposed bitter divisions within the GOP in the race to complete the term of former Sen. Johnny Isakson (R).

Democrats are eager to make advantage in both Senate races as well as the presidential race, pointing to shifting demographics and enthusiasm among the party's base sparked by Stacey Abrams's unsuccessful gubernatorial bid in 2018

B. The Trump campaign is investing extra money and resources in an effort to draw in African-American voters than any Republican presidential campaign in recent memory.

The drive includes highly visible television advertising, including an $11 million Super Bowl commercial, along with ad purchases in local black newspapers and on radio stations; “Black Voices for Trump”; storefronts in key battleground states; and a sustained social media campaign directed at black voters whose consumer, religious and demographic profiles suggest potential support, including on such issues as immigration, abortion, gender roles etc

For Trump, the effort became all the more crucial as the Super Tuesday primaries demonstrated Joe Biden’s strong appeal to black voters. Exit polls showed Biden winning 57% of the votes cast by African-Americans on Tuesday, 40 points higher than his closest competitor, Bernie Sanders, at 17%.