In: Finance
Hooper Chemical Company, a major chemical firm that uses such
raw materials as carbon and petroleum as part of its production
process, is examining a plastics firm to add to its operations.
Before the acquisition, the normal expected outcomes for the firm
were as follows:
| Outcomes ($ millions) |
Probability |
|||||
| Recession | $ | 35 | .4 | |||
| Normal economy | 55 | .2 | ||||
| Strong economy | 75 | .4 | ||||
Compute the expected value, standard deviation, and coefficient
of variation prior to the acquisition. (Do not round
intermediate calculations. Enter your dollar answers in millions
rounded to 2 decimal places (e.g., $12,300,000 should be entered as
"12.30"). Round the coefficient of variation to 3 decimal
places.)
| Probability (P) | RETURN (Y) | (P * Y ) | P * (Y -Average Return of Y)^2 | |
| RECESSION | 40% | 35 | 14.00 | 160.00 |
| NORMAL ECONOMY | 20% | 55 | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| STRONG ECONOMY | 40% | 75 | 30.00 | 160.00 |
| TOTAL | 55.00 | 320.00 | ||
| Expected Return = | (P * Y) | |||
| 55.00 | ||||
| VARIANCE = | P * (Y -Average Return of Y)^2 | |||
| 320.00 | ||||
| Standard Deviation = | Square root of (P * (Y -Average Return of Y)^2) | |||
| Square root of 320 | ||||
| 17.89 | ||||
| COEFFICIENT OF VARIATION= | STANDARD DEVIATION/ MEAN | |||
| 17.89 / 55 | ||||
| 0.325 |