In: Statistics and Probability
In a poll to estimate presidential popularity, each person in a random sample of 1,190 voters was asked to agree with one of the following statements: 1. The president is doing a good job. 2. The president is doing a poor job. 3. I have no opinion. A total of 650 respondents selected the first statement, indicating they thought the president was doing a good job. a. Construct a 95% confidence interval for the proportion of respondents who feel the president is doing a good job. (Use z Distribution Table.) (Round your answers to 3 decimal places.) Confidence interval for the proportion is up to . b. Based on your interval in part (a), is it reasonable to conclude that a majority of the population believes the president is doing a good job?
(a)
n = 1190
p = 0.546218487
% = 95
Standard Error, SE = √{p(1 - p)/n} = √(0.546218487394958(1 - 0.546218487394958))/1190 = 0.014432219
z- score = 1.959963985
Width of the confidence interval = z * SE = 1.95996398454005 * 0.0144322191909479 = 0.02828663
Lower Limit of the confidence interval = P - width = 0.546218487394958 - 0.0282866298312457 = 0.51793186
Upper Limit of the confidence interval = P + width = 0.546218487394958 + 0.0282866298312457 = 0.57450512
The confidence interval is [0.518, 0.575]
(b)
The entire interval above is above 50%, so it is reasonable to conclude that a majority of the population believes the president is doing a good job.
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