In: Advanced Math
Lighting |
Watchman |
Mean Number of Burglaries |
poor |
no |
2.80 |
good |
no |
1.00 |
poor |
yes |
2.40 |
good |
yes |
0.75 |
effects
a) The net mean burglaries of whole data is = (2.80+1.00+2.40+0.75)/4 = 1.7375
Since burglaries in scenario 1 and 3 are higher than the mean, hence they are significant
b) If lighting is poor, then the mean no of burglaries are significant as evident from previous answer. Having watchman doesnt influence much.
c) Cost of watchman = $3000
Cost of lighting = $700
Cost of burglary = $2000
Calculating the expected value of cost in each case
Note->
if watchman is included then $3000 cost is added else 0
If lighting is included then cost $700 is included else 0
Case 1) No lighting and no watchman
=> Expected value= 0X700 + 0X3000 + 2.80 X 2000 = $5600
Case 2) Good lighting and no watchman
=> Expected value= 1X700 + 0X3000 + 1X2000 = $2700
Case 3) No lighting and watchman
=> Expected value= 0X700 + 1X3000 + 2.40X2000 = $ 7800
Case 4) Lighting and watchman both
=> Expected value= 1X700 + 1X3000 + 0.75X2000 = $5200
Thus from above cases we can see that minimum cost is in case 2 ie $2700
Thus best decision is Lighting and no watchman.