In: Statistics and Probability
The American Heart Association is about to conduct an anti-smoking campaign and wants to know the fraction of Americans over 36 who smoke. Step 1 of 2: Suppose a sample of 632 Americans over 36 is drawn. Of these people, 430 430 don't smoke. Using the data, estimate the proportion of Americans over 36 36 who smoke. Enter your answer as a fraction or a decimal number rounded to three decimal places then calculate lower and upper endpoints
Solution :
Given that,
n = 632
430 don't smoke
smoke = 632 - 430 = 202
x = 202
Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 202 / 632 = 0.320
1 - = 1 - 0.320 = 0.680
At 95% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 95% = 1 - 0.95 = 0.05
/ 2 = 0.05 / 2 = 0.025
Z/2 = Z0.025 = 1.96
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.96 * (((0.320 * 0.680) / 632)
= 0.037
A 95% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < p < + E
0.320 - 0.037 < p < 0.320 + 0.037
0.283 < p < 0.357
Lower endpoint = 0.283
Upper endpoint = 0.357