In: Finance
What is the expected return, standard deviation, and CV for each of these stocks? Which offers you the best risk/reward ratio?
Prob. |
Alpha |
Beta |
|
0.2 |
Great |
22% |
31% |
0.4 |
Average |
12% |
15% |
0.2 |
Poor |
-5% |
-10% |
0.2 |
Catastrophic |
-15% |
-20% |
Answer :-
Expected reurn of Alpha | 5.2% or 0.052 |
Expected reurn of Alpha |
6.2% |
Standard deviation of Alpha= 0.1673878
Standard deviation of Beta = 0.233906
Co variance of Alpha =3.2189
Co variance of Beta = 3.7726774
..
Explanation :-
Calculation of the Expected return of the Stock
Expected Return of alpha |
|||
Particulars | Probability (A) | Return (B) | Expected Return (A × B) |
Great | 0.20 | 22% | 4.4% |
Avarage | 0.40 | 12% | 4.8% |
Poor | 0.20 | -5% | -1% |
Catastrophic | 0.20 | -15% | -3% |
Expected reurn of Alpha | 5.2% or 0.052 |
Expected Return of Beta |
|||
Particulars | Probability (A) | Return (B) | Expected Return (A × B) |
Great | 0.20 | 31% | 6.2% |
Avarage | 0.40 | 15% | 6% |
Poor | 0.20 | -10% | -2% |
Catastrophic | 0.20 | -20% | -4% |
Expected reurn of Alpha | 6.2% |
..
Calculation of standard deviation
Standard Deviation of Alpha |
|||
Return(R) |
Expected Return(ER) |
R-ER |
(R-ER)^2 |
0.22 | 0.052 | 0.168 | 0.028224 |
0.12 | 0.052 | 0.068 | 0.004624 |
-0.05 | 0.052 | -0.102 | 0.010404 |
-0.15 | 0.052 | -0.202 | 0.040804 |
Total (R-ER)^2 | 0.084056 |
..
Standard Deviation =
n= size / number of return = 4
=
=
=
Standard deviation of Alpha= 0.1673878
.
Standard Deviation of Beta |
|||
Return(R) |
Expected Return(ER) |
R-ER |
(R-ER)^2 |
0.31 | 0.062 | 0.248 | 0.061504 |
0.15 | 0.062 | 0.088 | 0.007744 |
-0.10 | 0.062 | -0.162 | 0.026244 |
-0.20 | 0.062 | -0.262 | 0.068644 |
Total (R-ER)^2 | 0.164136 |
.
Standard Deviation =
n= size / number of return = 4
Standard deviation =
=
=
Standard deviation of Beta = 0.233906
..
Covariance of Stocks
Covariance = Standard deviation / Mean (Expected Return)
Covariance of Alpha
Expected return of Alpha = 0.052
Standard deviation of Alpha = 0.1673878
Covariance = 0.1673878 / 0.052
Co variance of Alpha =3.2189
Covariance of Beta
Expected return of Alpha = 0.062
Standard deviation of Alpha = 0.233906
Covariance =0.233906 / 0.062
Co variance of Beta = 3.7726774
Alpha is the best risk reward ratio