In: Statistics and Probability
In Exercises 19–22, let p be the population proportion for the situation. (a) Find point estimates of p and q, (b) construct 90% and 95% confidence intervals for p, and (c) interpret the results of part (b) and compare the widths of the confidence intervals
. In a survey of 2223 U.S. adults, 1334 say an occupation as an athlete is prestigious. (Adapted
Solution :
Given that,
n = 2223
x = 1334
(a)
Point estimate = sample proportion =
= x / n = 1334 / 2223 = 0.600
1 -
= 1 - 0.600 = 0.400
(b)
At 90% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 90% = 1 - 0.90 = 0.10
/ 2 = 0.10 / 2 = 0.05
Z/2
= Z 0.05 = 1.645
Margin of error = E = Z
/ 2 *
((
* (1 -
)) / n)
= 1.645 * (((0.600
* 0.400) / 2223)
= 0.017
A 90% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < p <
+ E
0.600 - 0.017 < p < 0.600 + 0.017
0.583 < p < 0.617
(0.583 , 0.617)
At 95% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 95% = 1 - 0.95 = 0.05
/ 2 = 0.05 / 2 = 0.025
Z/2
= Z0.025 = 1.96
Margin of error = E = Z
/ 2 *
((
* (1 -
)) / n)
= 1.96 * (((0.600
* 0.400) / 2223)
= 0.020
A 90% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < p <
+ E
0.600 - 0.020 < p < 0.600 + 0.020
0.580 < p < 0.620
(0.580 , 0.620)
(c)
Width of the confidence interval at 95% is more than 90% .
If we increase the confidence level then width of the confidence interval is also increases .