In: Statistics and Probability
The U.S infant mortality rates (IMR) for both sexes and all races for the years 1981-1990 ( coded as years 1-10) are in the table.
Year | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
IMR | 11.9 | 11.5 | 11.2 | 10.8 | 10.6 | 10.4 | 10.1 | 10.0 | 9.8 | 9.2 |
a) Calculate a 95% confidence interval for the mean IMR for 1985
b) Suppose that for Australia in 1985 , the IMR was 9.3 deaths per 1000 live births. Was the U.S IMR significantly higher than that of Australia in 1985? us α = 0.01, use statistic t = (a + bx* - hypothesized value)/(S (a+bx*))
a) 95 % CI
This simple confidence interval calculator uses a t statistic and sample mean (M) to generate an interval estimate of a population mean (μ).
The formula for estimation is:
μ = M ± t(sM)
where:
M = sample mean
t = t statistic determined by confidence
level
sM = standard error =
√(s2/n)
Calculation
M = 10.55
t = 2.26
sM = √(0.822/10) =
0.26
μ = M ± t(sM)
μ = 10.55 ± 2.26*0.26
μ = 10.55 ± 0.5866
Result
M = 10.55, 95% CI [9.9634, 11.1366].
You can be 95% confident that the population mean (μ) falls between 9.9634 and 11.1366.
b) Suppose that for Australia in 1985 , the IMR was 9.3 deaths per 1000 live births. Was the U.S IMR significantly higher than that of Australia in 1985? us α = 0.01, use statistic t = (a + bx* - hypothesized value)/(S (a+bx*))
To calculate a+bx, fit the regression model on the data
Sum of X = 55
Sum of Y = 105.5
Mean X = 5.5
Mean Y = 10.55
Sum of squares (SSX) = 82.5
Sum of products (SP) = -22.25
Regression Equation = ŷ = bX + a
b = SP/SSX = -22.25/82.5 =
-0.2697
a = MY - bMX = 10.55 -
(-0.27*5.5) = 12.03333
ŷ = -0.2697X + 12.03333
a+bx= -0.2697X + 12.03333
Test statistics as,
t = (a + bx* - hypothesized value)/(S (a+bx*))= (9.52-9.3)/(0.82(9.52)= 0.02
P value for the statistics is as 0.97
that means there no significant value and he current value and 9.3
thanks