In: Finance
Marcel Co. is growing quickly. Dividends are expected to grow at a rate of 0.20 for the next 4 years, with the growth rate falling off to a constant 0.01 thereafter. If the required return is 0.14 and the company just paid a $1.95 dividend, what is the current share price? Answer with 2 decimals (e.g. 45.45).
In this question we need to find the cash flow of each year from this stock, then discount those cash inflows using the discount rate, PV of the cash inflow will be price of the stock
Let's first calculate Dividend of each year
Year |
Last year dividend |
Growth rate |
calculation |
Dividend |
0 |
1.95 |
|||
1 |
1.95 |
20% |
1.95* (1+ 0.2) |
2.3400 |
2 |
2.34 |
20% |
2.34* (1+ 0.2) |
2.8080 |
3 |
2.81 |
20% |
2.808* (1+ 0.2) |
3.3696 |
4 |
3.37 |
20% |
3.3696* (1+ 0.2) |
4.0435 |
5 |
4.04 |
1% |
4.0435* (1+ 0.01) |
4.0839 |
After year 4 dividend will be received in the form of an growing perpetuity
we need to find the PV of perpetuity
PV of growing perpetuity = Next year dividend/ (Discount rate - constant dividend growth rate)
where,
Next year dividend = $4.0839
Discount rate or required rate of return = 0.14
Constant dividend growth rate = 0.01
Lets put all the values in the formula to find the PV of perpetuity
PV of perpetuity = 4.0839/ (0.14 - 0.01)
= 4.0839/ 0.13
= 31.41
Now we have all the dividend amount which will yield from the stocks, next step is to discount the dividend amount using the required rate of return
Year |
Dividend |
PV factor |
PV factor |
PV of dividend |
1 |
2.34 |
1/(1+ 0.14) |
0.89286 |
2.089286 |
2 |
2.81 |
1/(1+ 0.14)^2 |
0.79719 |
2.23852 |
3 |
3.37 |
1/(1+ 0.14)^3 |
0.71178 |
2.398415 |
4 |
4.04 |
1/(1+ 0.14)^4 |
0.63552 |
2.569717 |
5 |
31.41 |
1/(1+ 0.14)^4 |
0.63552 |
19.96162 |
Total |
29.25756 |
Stock price = $29.26
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