Question

In: Statistics and Probability

Question 1: Scenario:  Point and Interval Estimate : You are the manager of an outpatient surgery facility....

Question 1: Scenario:  Point and Interval Estimate :

You are the manager of an outpatient surgery facility. You are trying to plan for the upcoming month and schedule the surgery rooms. In order for you to schedule patients, you need to know about how much time surgeries are taking at the clinic so you do not over schedule past your room capacity. Prepare a report to share with the physicians of the clinic that will help you make informed decisions about how much time you estimate each surgery will take based on the data provided to you in the excel sheet. Prepare a report that addresses each of these areas. Make sure to provide in your findings the mean, median, margin of error and 95% confidence intervals

Purpose (5 points): Identify the purpose of the analysis in this section. What questions do you hope to answer?

Importance (5 points): State and explain the importance of this analysis to the department/organization. How can the findings be used?

Variables (3 points): List all variables, explain how they will be measured, and how they will be collected.

Sample Size (2 points): State your sample size and when data was collected.

Methodology (5 points): State the statistical method used in this section.

Findings (5 points): Present findings on both point (mean, median) and interval (95% CI) estimates. Copy and paste relevant results from your excel calculations here. Provide the results, but also give a description as to what each of the statistics mean.

Interpretations/Implications ( 5 points): Interpret what the findings mean. Discuss what the department/organization should do based on these findings in order to improve the facility, or in planning.

Patient Date Surgery_Time
100 1/1/2018 30
101 1/2/2018 45
102 1/14/2018 96
103 1/4/2018 24
104 1/19/2018 23
105 1/6/2018 23
106 1/4/2018 12
107 1/8/2018 18
108 1/10/2018 19
109 1/10/2018 19
110 1/11/2018 21
111 1/1/2018 12
112 1/29/2018 43
113 1/14/2018 20
114 1/15/2018 12
115 1/22/2018 12
116 1/17/2018 64
117 1/18/2018 34
118 1/14/2018 20
119 1/20/2018 18
120 1/21/2018 25
121 1/12/2018 24
122 1/23/2018 42
123 1/12/2018 42
124 1/25/2018 14
125 1/26/2018 32
126 1/1/2018 12
127 1/15/2018 12
128 1/1/2018 32

Solutions

Expert Solution

Purpose

To find the descriptive statistics and 95% confidence interval for the mean surgery time for the patients in the surgery rooms.

Importance

By finding the descriptive statistics and confidence interval for the mean surgery time, we will get idea for scheduling the next surgeries and administration would take proper decision for increasing the surgery rooms for decreasing the average waiting time for the patients.

Variables

The variable under study for this scenario is given as surgery time for which we have to find the descriptive statistics and confidence interval for the population mean.

Sample Size

The sample size used for this research study is 29 patients.

Methodology

Here, we have to use both descriptive and inferential statistical techniques for finding the numerical summary and confidence interval for the population mean surgery time for the patients in the surgery rooms.

Findings

First of all, we have find the descriptive statistics for the variable surgery time. The descriptive statistics by using excel are given as below:

Surgery Time

Mean

27.58621

Standard Error

3.376067

Median

23

Mode

12

Standard Deviation

18.18068

Sample Variance

330.5369

Kurtosis

6.505206

Skewness

2.260696

Range

84

Minimum

12

Maximum

96

Sum

800

Count

29

Now, we have to find the 95% confidence interval by using excel which is given as below:

Confidence Interval Estimate for the Mean

Data

Sample Standard Deviation

18.18067506

Sample Mean

27.5862069

Sample Size

29

Confidence Level

95%

Intermediate Calculations

Standard Error of the Mean

3.376066604

Degrees of Freedom

28

t Value

2.0484

Interval Half Width

6.9156

Confidence Interval

Interval Lower Limit

20.67

Interval Upper Limit

34.50

Interpretations/Implications

From above excel outputs for descriptive statistics and confidence interval, interpretations for this research study are given as below:

The average mean surgery time is given as 27.59 minutes with the standard deviation of 18.18 minutes.

We are 95% confident that the average population surgery time will lies between the 20.67 minutes and 34.50 minutes.


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