In: Statistics and Probability
Question 1: Scenario: Point and Interval Estimate :
You are the manager of an outpatient surgery facility. You are trying to plan for the upcoming month and schedule the surgery rooms. In order for you to schedule patients, you need to know about how much time surgeries are taking at the clinic so you do not over schedule past your room capacity. Prepare a report to share with the physicians of the clinic that will help you make informed decisions about how much time you estimate each surgery will take based on the data provided to you in the excel sheet. Prepare a report that addresses each of these areas. Make sure to provide in your findings the mean, median, margin of error and 95% confidence intervals
Purpose (5 points): Identify the purpose of the analysis in this section. What questions do you hope to answer?
Importance (5 points): State and explain the importance of this analysis to the department/organization. How can the findings be used?
Variables (3 points): List all variables, explain how they will be measured, and how they will be collected.
Sample Size (2 points): State your sample size and when data was collected.
Methodology (5 points): State the statistical method used in this section.
Findings (5 points): Present findings on both point (mean, median) and interval (95% CI) estimates. Copy and paste relevant results from your excel calculations here. Provide the results, but also give a description as to what each of the statistics mean.
Interpretations/Implications ( 5 points): Interpret what the findings mean. Discuss what the department/organization should do based on these findings in order to improve the facility, or in planning.
Patient | Date | Surgery_Time | |
100 | 1/1/2018 | 30 | |
101 | 1/2/2018 | 45 | |
102 | 1/14/2018 | 96 | |
103 | 1/4/2018 | 24 | |
104 | 1/19/2018 | 23 | |
105 | 1/6/2018 | 23 | |
106 | 1/4/2018 | 12 | |
107 | 1/8/2018 | 18 | |
108 | 1/10/2018 | 19 | |
109 | 1/10/2018 | 19 | |
110 | 1/11/2018 | 21 | |
111 | 1/1/2018 | 12 | |
112 | 1/29/2018 | 43 | |
113 | 1/14/2018 | 20 | |
114 | 1/15/2018 | 12 | |
115 | 1/22/2018 | 12 | |
116 | 1/17/2018 | 64 | |
117 | 1/18/2018 | 34 | |
118 | 1/14/2018 | 20 | |
119 | 1/20/2018 | 18 | |
120 | 1/21/2018 | 25 | |
121 | 1/12/2018 | 24 | |
122 | 1/23/2018 | 42 | |
123 | 1/12/2018 | 42 | |
124 | 1/25/2018 | 14 | |
125 | 1/26/2018 | 32 | |
126 | 1/1/2018 | 12 | |
127 | 1/15/2018 | 12 | |
128 | 1/1/2018 | 32 |
Purpose
To find the descriptive statistics and 95% confidence interval for the mean surgery time for the patients in the surgery rooms.
Importance
By finding the descriptive statistics and confidence interval for the mean surgery time, we will get idea for scheduling the next surgeries and administration would take proper decision for increasing the surgery rooms for decreasing the average waiting time for the patients.
Variables
The variable under study for this scenario is given as surgery time for which we have to find the descriptive statistics and confidence interval for the population mean.
Sample Size
The sample size used for this research study is 29 patients.
Methodology
Here, we have to use both descriptive and inferential statistical techniques for finding the numerical summary and confidence interval for the population mean surgery time for the patients in the surgery rooms.
Findings
First of all, we have find the descriptive statistics for the variable surgery time. The descriptive statistics by using excel are given as below:
Surgery Time |
|
Mean |
27.58621 |
Standard Error |
3.376067 |
Median |
23 |
Mode |
12 |
Standard Deviation |
18.18068 |
Sample Variance |
330.5369 |
Kurtosis |
6.505206 |
Skewness |
2.260696 |
Range |
84 |
Minimum |
12 |
Maximum |
96 |
Sum |
800 |
Count |
29 |
Now, we have to find the 95% confidence interval by using excel which is given as below:
Confidence Interval Estimate for the Mean |
|
Data |
|
Sample Standard Deviation |
18.18067506 |
Sample Mean |
27.5862069 |
Sample Size |
29 |
Confidence Level |
95% |
Intermediate Calculations |
|
Standard Error of the Mean |
3.376066604 |
Degrees of Freedom |
28 |
t Value |
2.0484 |
Interval Half Width |
6.9156 |
Confidence Interval |
|
Interval Lower Limit |
20.67 |
Interval Upper Limit |
34.50 |
Interpretations/Implications
From above excel outputs for descriptive statistics and confidence interval, interpretations for this research study are given as below:
The average mean surgery time is given as 27.59 minutes with the standard deviation of 18.18 minutes.
We are 95% confident that the average population surgery time will lies between the 20.67 minutes and 34.50 minutes.