Question

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In what month does the stock exceed twice the price per share on Jan 1, 2015?

 One share of Global Core Development Systems, Ine [an imaginary company with the abbreviation: Go-CDS] stock was priced at $32.50 on January 1, 2015. Your tasking in this problem is to determine how long does it take for a stockholder to double their money who has invested in Go-CDS? In other words, how long until the price per share has doubled.

 Here are some facts about Go-CDS:

 Very stable company with a proven track record of manufacturing.

 The normal growth of Go-CDS's stock has averaged a monthly growth rate of 0.1% in the share price. (This means that the price per share goes up by 0.1% each month over the last month's price.)

 Beginning in March 2015, each time Go-CDS releases a quarterly report (on the 15 of the months of March, June, September and December each year), the stock share price increased immediately by 4.5% due to the continuing, favorable outlook for Go-CDS's products in the marketplace. Due to a merger with another manufacturing company in the 17 month after 1/1/2015, the monthly growth rate increased to 1.15% until the end of THAT calendar year (after the 24 month). Beginning with month 25, the monthly growth rate increased to 1.25% per month. Unfortunately, due to a bad set of business decisions in 2018, the Board fired the CEO which instantly cut the share price on Oct 5, 2018 by S15.00 (the 34 month). A new CEO was immediately hired on Oct 10, 2018.

 The company growth rate reset to 1.05% per month after the new CEO was hired due to bad press.


 Problem: Write a MATLAB program to solve the following questions:

 Question 1: In what month does the stock exceed twice the price per share on Jan 1, 2015?

 Question 2: Prepare a plot of the stock's per-month price movement over the course of ONLY the years 2017 until the price has doubled ONLY (which is from months 25 until the answer to Question #1). You will need to adjust the plot routine to ONLY show these months. To limit the plot to these months, add the following command:

 axis ([25,49,50,701)

 This command sets the x-axis range to "25-48" and the y-axis range to “50-70"

 ALSO, add the following command to put a note on your plot:

 text (40, 52, 'Note: Price as of 1st of the month')

 This command adds text at coordinate: (40 months and $52)


Solutions

Expert Solution

% Global Core Develpment System

%stock pric variable sp_initial and variable t forc storing the month count from
%1/Jan/2015
sp_initial = 32.50;
t(1) = 1;
sp(1) = sp_initial;
monthly_rate = 0.001; % 0.1percent growth rate = 0.001
quarter_rate = 0.045; %4.5percent quaterly increase
%growth in first 16 month before merger on 17th month
for i = 2:16
t(i) = i;
sp(i) = sp(i-1)*(1 + monthly_rate);
  
if(mod(i,3) == 0)
sp(i) = sp(i) * (1 + quarter_rate);
end
end

%merger growth in 17th month to 24th month (end of year)
monthly_rate = 0.0115;
for i = 17:24
t(i) = i;
sp(i) = sp(i-1)*(1 + monthly_rate);
  
if(mod(i,3) == 0)
sp(i) = sp(i) * (1 + quarter_rate);
end
end

% from 25th month that is the new year monthly growth rate is 1.25%
monthly_rate = 0.0125;
for i = 25:34
t(i) = i;
sp(i) = sp(i-1)*(1 + monthly_rate);
  
if(mod(i,3) == 0)
sp(i) = sp(i) * (1 + quarter_rate);
end
end

%in 34th month CEO gets fired and stock price are by $15 and new monthly
%rate is 1.05 percent
sp(34) = sp(34) - 15;
monthly_rate = 0.0105;
for i = 35:60
t(i) = i;
sp(i) = sp(i-1)*(1 + monthly_rate);
  
if(mod(i,3) == 0)
sp(i) = sp(i) * (1 + quarter_rate);
end
end

figure
plot(t,sp)
axis([25,49,50,70])
text(40,52,'Note: Price as of 1st of the month')
xlabel('Months from Jan/2015')
ylabel('Stock Share Price($)')

%Answer 1 month when price dobles as of initial stock price
for i =1:50
  
if(sp(i) >= 2*sp_initial)
fprintf('The Month when the share price doubled is: %d \n', i);
break;
end
  
end

SCREENSHOTS

OUTPUT and PLOTS

Please go through above code and if you have any doubts then message me.

Please give me a thumbs up. Thanks.


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