In: Finance
The current dividend on an equity share of a company is $3.the present growth rate is 50%. However, this will decline linearly over a period of 10 years and then stabilize at 12% . What is the intrinsic The value of that company if investors require a return of 16%.
The growth rate in year 1 is 50%. It has to decline to 12% in 10 years. Hence, decline in growth rate per year over next 10 years = (50% - 12%) / 10 = 3.80%
The dividend over next 10 years will be as shown below:
Time | Growth rate | Dividend |
0 | 3.00 | |
1 | 50.00% | 4.50 |
2 | 46.20% | 6.58 |
3 | 42.40% | 9.37 |
4 | 38.60% | 12.98 |
5 | 34.80% | 17.50 |
6 | 31.00% | 22.93 |
7 | 27.20% | 29.17 |
8 | 23.40% | 35.99 |
9 | 19.60% | 43.05 |
10 | 15.80% | 49.85 |
11 | 12.00% | 55.83 |
Hence, horizon value of all the future dividend from year 11 onward, at the end of year 10 =DHV,10 = D11 / (Ke - g) = 55.83 / ( 16% - 12%) = 1,395.71
Hence, the intrinsic value of that company = PV of all the dividends over next 10 years + PV of DHV,10 = D1 / (1 + Ke) + D2 / (1 + Ke)2 + D3 / (1 + Ke)3 +.....+ D10 / (1 + Ke)10 + DHV,10 / (1 + Ke)10 = 4.50 /(1 + 16%) + 6.58 / (1 + 16%)2 + 9.37 / (1 + 16%)3 +.....+ 49.85 / (1 + 16%)10 + 1,395.71 / (1 + 16%)10 = $ 399.99 = $ 400 / share