In: Statistics and Probability
According to the Normal model N(0.071,0.027) describing mutual fund returns in the 1st quarter of 2013, determine what percentage of this group of funds you would expect to have the following returns. Complete parts (a) through (d) below. a) Over 6.8%? b) Between 0% and 7.6%? c) More than 1%? d) Less than 0%? (Please show work!)
Solution :
Given that ,
N(0.071,0.027)
mean = = 0.071 = 7.1%
standard deviation = = 0.027 = 2.7%
a) P(x > 6.8%) = 1 - p( x< 6.8% )
=1- p P[(x - ) / < (6.8% - 7.1%) / 2.7% ]
=1- P(z < -0.14)
Using z table,
= 1 - 0.4443
= 0.5557
The percentage is = 55.57%
b) P(0% < x < 7.6% ) = P[(0% - 7.1%)/ 2.1%) < (x - ) / < (7.6% - 7.1%) / 2.7%) ]
= P( -3.38 < z < 0.19 )
= P(z < 0.19) - P(z < -3.38 )
Using z table,
= 0.5753 - 0.0004
= 0.5749
The percentage is = 57.49%
c) P(x > 1%) = 1 - p( x< 1% )
=1- p P[(x - ) / < (1% - 7.1%) / 2.7% ]
=1- P(z < -2.26)
Using z table,
= 1 - 0.0119
= 0.9881
The percentage is = 98.81%
d) P(x < 0%) = P[(x - ) / < (0% - 7.1%) / 2.7% ]
= P(z < -3.38)
Using z table,
= 0.0004
The percentage is = 0.04%