In: Statistics and Probability
According to the Normal model
N(0.0650.065,0.0180.018)
describing mutual fund returns in the 1st quarter of 2013, determine what percentage of this group of funds you would expect to have the following returns. Complete parts (a) through (d) below.
a) Over 6.8%? |
b) Between 0% and 7.6%? |
c) More than 1%? |
d) Less than 0%? |
Solution :
Given that ,
mean = = 0.065
standard deviation = = 0.0018
a)
P(x > 0.068) = 1 - P(x < 0.068)
= 1 - P((x - ) / < (0.068 - 0.065) / 0.018)
= 1 - P(z < 0.167)
= 1 - 0.5663
= 0.4337
Answer = 43.37%
(b)
P(0< x < 0.076) = P((0 - 0.065)/ 0.018) < (x - ) / < (0.076 - 0.065) / 0.018) )
= P(-3.61 < z < 0.61)
= P(z < 0.61) - P(z < -3.61)
= 0.9463 - 0.0002
= 0.9461
Answer = 94.61%
(c)
P(x > 0.01) = 1 - P(x < 0.01)
= 1 - P((x - ) / < (0.01 - 0.065) / 0.018)
= 1 - P(z < -3.056)
= 1 - 0.0011
= 0.9989
Answer = 99.89%
(d)
P(x < 0) = P((x - ) / < (0 - 0.065) / 0.018)
= P(z < -3.61)
= 0.0002
Probability = 0.02%