In: Math
1. Using the Data Set, create and calculate the following in Excel®:
Determine the range of values in which you would expect to find the average weekly sales for the entire sales force in your company 90% of the time, and calculate the following:
A. The impact of increasing the confidence level to 95%
B. The impact of increasing the sample size to 150, assuming the same mean and standard deviation, but allowing the confidence level to remain at 90%
Data Set:
SAMPLE OF WEEKLY SALES | |||||||
Sales Rep # | AverageWeekly Sales($) | Week # | Weekly Sales($) - Rep A | Weekly Sales($) - Rep B | |||
1 | 1228 | 1 | 4657 | 5839 | |||
2 | 7374 | 2 | 6133 | 2602 | |||
3 | 1055 | 3 | 3438 | 2830 | |||
4 | 1859 | 4 | 7394 | 4763 | |||
5 | 3938 | 5 | 4327 | 3740 | |||
6 | 1692 | 6 | 2552 | 2315 | |||
7 | 569 | 7 | 7063 | 1599 | |||
8 | 4059 | 8 | 7844 | 1629 | |||
9 | 3689 | 9 | 6898 | 2416 | |||
10 | 607 | 10 | 4003 | 2107 | |||
11 | 1370 | 11 | 6884 | 4237 | |||
12 | 3735 | 12 | 4007 | 6322 | |||
13 | 3305 | 13 | 7214 | 3710 | |||
14 | 7228 | 14 | 2358 | 5890 | |||
15 | 6279 | 15 | 7745 | 5119 | |||
16 | 1671 | 16 | 1337 | 5184 | |||
17 | 5708 | 17 | 1052 | 3439 | |||
18 | 2569 | 18 | 6056 | 4828 | |||
19 | 4163 | 19 | 1495 | 3667 | |||
20 | 1519 | 20 | 3530 | 3518 | |||
21 | 7734 | 21 | 4749 | 6073 | |||
22 | 784 | 22 | 3833 | 5566 | |||
23 | 6766 | 23 | 7869 | 4555 | |||
24 | 7261 | 24 | 4541 | 5867 | |||
25 | 5034 | 25 | 6882 | 6039 | |||
26 | 7115 | 26 | 3868 | 1032 | |||
27 | 6291 | 27 | 5934 | 4834 | |||
28 | 6287 | 28 | 4447 | 3687 | |||
29 | 2080 | 29 | 5504 | 5500 | |||
30 | 7621 | 30 | 5554 | 4659 | |||
31 | 1047 | ||||||
32 | 6517 | ||||||
33 | 5172 | ||||||
34 | 3876 | ||||||
35 | 5429 | ||||||
36 | 4538 | ||||||
37 | 3786 | ||||||
38 | 2510 | ||||||
39 | 4863 | ||||||
40 | 7246 | ||||||
41 | 1175 | ||||||
42 | 641 | ||||||
43 | 4269 | ||||||
44 | 7034 | ||||||
45 | 3406 | ||||||
46 | 2256 | ||||||
47 | 3182 | ||||||
48 | 5178 | ||||||
49 | 4428 | ||||||
50 | 1189 | ||||||
Answer:
Determine the range of values in which you would expect to find the average weekly sales for the entire sales force in your company 90% of the time
We want to calculate the 90% confidence interval of average weekly sales.
The significance level
We want to find the critical value , that is
From ,the standard normal tables we get
the average of the average weekly sales of n=50 reps is given by
The sample standard deviation s, is given by
Using, the sample standard deviation as an estimate of the population standard deviation, the standard error of mean is
The lower confidence interval is
the upper level of confidence interval is
Part (A)
Impact of increasing the confidence level to 95%
The significance level . the critical value is the value of Z for which
Using standard normal tables we get
The lower confidence interval is
the upper level of confidence interval is
The increase in the confidence interval from 90% to 95% has given us a larger interval.
Calculate the impact of increasing the sample size to 150, assuming the same mean and standard deviation, but allowing the confidence level to remain at 90%?
Confidence Interval Estimate for the Mean |
|
Data |
|
Sample Standard Deviation |
2284.1933 |
Sample Mean |
3966.64 |
Sample Size |
150 |
Confidence Level |
90% |
Intermediate Calculations |
|
Standard Error of the Mean |
186.503602 |
Degrees of Freedom |
149 |
t Value |
1.6551 |
Interval Half Width |
308.6904 |
Confidence Interval |
|
Interval Lower Limit |
3657.9496 |
Interval Upper Limit |
4275.3304 |
90% CI = (3657.9496, 4275.3304)
By increasing ,the sample size to 150, assuming the same mean and standard deviation, but allowing the confidence level to remain at 90%, the width of the interval is decreased.