In: Finance
Assuming that
a. you can buy a euro call with strike price of $1.50 for 3 cents
b. you can sell a euro put at the same strike price for 4 cents
c. the prevailing forward rate is $1.54 per euro
d. the annual risk-free rate in the US is 6%.
Show how arbitrageurs can generate riskless profit. Explain how the different prices will adjust
As a first step, let's check if Call Put parity is satisfied.
Call Put Parity equation is:
C + PV (K) = P + S
Or, C + PV (K) - P - S = 0
Where C = Call premium = 3 cents = $ 0.03
P = Put premium = 4 cents = $ 0.04
K = strike price = $ 1.50
S = Current forward rate = $ 1.54
Risk free rate, r = 6%
Time to maturity, t = = not specified, let's assume 1 year
PV (K) = Present value of strike = K x (1 + r)-t = 1.50 x (1 + 6%)-1 = 1.42
Hence, LHS of the call put parity = C + PV (K) - P - S = 0.03 + 1.42 - 0.04 - 1.54 = - 0.13 which is not equal to zero
Hence, call put parity is not satisfied and there exists an arbitrage opportunity. The opportunity can be exhausted by creating a position C + PV (K) - P - S in the following manner:
Sl. No. | Action | Cash flows at t = 0 | Cash flows on expiry / maturity at t = 1 |
1 | Short (Sell) a Put | + P = + 0.04 | - max (K - S1, 0) |
2. | Short (Sell) the current forward | + S = + 1.54 | - S1 |
3. | Buy (Long) a call | - C = - 0.03 | max (S1 - K, 0) |
4. | Lend PV (K) | - 1.42 | + 1.42 x (1 + 6%) = 1.50 |
Total | 0.13 | 1.50 + max (S1 - K, 0) - max (K - S1, 0) - S1 |
Cash flows at t = 1: 1.50 + max (S1 - K, 0) - max (K - S1, 0) - S1
Scenario 1: S1 > K; hence max (S1 - K, 0) = S1 - K; max (K - S1, 0) = 0
Hence, cash flows at t = 1 will be = 1.50 + S1 - K - 0 - S1 = 1.50 - K = 1.50 - 1.50 = 0
Scenario 1: S1 < K; hence max (S1 - K, 0) = 0; max (K - S1, 0) = K - S1
Hence, cash flows at t = 1 will be = 1.50 + 0 - (K - S1) - S1 = 1.50 - K = 1.50 - 1.50 = 0
Hence, cash flows at t = 1 will always be 0.
And cash flows at t= 0 will be $ 0.13.
Hence, we are getting a positive cash flow to begin with without any risk of payout in future. Thus we are making return without any investment or risk. This is the arbitrage where we make a riskless profit of $ 0.13