In: Statistics and Probability
The fill amount of bottles of a soft drink is normally distributed, with a mean of
2.0 liters and a standard deviation of 0.05 liter. Suppose you select a random sample of 25 bottles.
a. What is the probability that the sample mean will be between 1.99 and 2.0 liters?
b. What is the probability that the sample mean will be below 1.98 liters?
c. What is the probability that the sample mean will be greater than 2.01 liters?
d. The probability is 99% that the sample mean amount of soft drink will be at least how much?
e. The probability is 99% that the sample mean amount of soft drink will be between which two values (symmetrically distributed around the mean)?
Part a)
X ~ N ( µ = 2 , σ = 0.05 )
P ( 1.99 < X < 2 )
Standardizing the value
Z = ( X - µ ) / ( σ / √(n))
Z = ( 1.99 - 2 ) / ( 0.05 / √(25))
Z = -1
Z = ( 2 - 2 ) / ( 0.05 / √(25))
Z = 0
P ( -1 < Z < 0 )
P ( 1.99 < X̅ < 2 ) = P ( Z < 0 ) - P ( Z < -1 )
P ( 1.99 < X̅ < 2 ) = 0.5 - 0.1587
P ( 1.99 < X̅ < 2 ) = 0.3413
Part b)
X ~ N ( µ = 2 , σ = 0.05 )
P ( X < 1.98 )
Standardizing the value
Z = ( X - µ ) / (σ/√(n)
Z = ( 1.98 - 2 ) / ( 0.05 / √25 )
Z = -2
P ( ( X - µ ) / ( σ/√(n)) < ( 1.98 - 2 ) / ( 0.05 / √(25)
)
P ( X < 1.98 ) = P ( Z < -2 )
P ( X̅ < 1.98 ) = 0.0228
Part c)
X ~ N ( µ = 2 , σ = 0.05 )
P ( X > 2.01 ) = 1 - P ( X < 2.01 )
Standardizing the value
Z = ( X - µ ) / ( σ / √(n))
Z = ( 2.01 - 2 ) / ( 0.05 / √ ( 25 ) )
Z = 1
P ( ( X - µ ) / ( σ / √ (n)) > ( 2.01 - 2 ) / ( 0.05 / √(25)
)
P ( Z > 1 )
P ( X̅ > 2.01 ) = 1 - P ( Z < 1 )
P ( X̅ > 2.01 ) = 1 - 0.8413
P ( X̅ > 2.01 ) = 0.1587
Part d)
X ~ N ( µ = 2 , σ = 0.05 )
P ( X > x ) = 1 - P ( X < x ) = 1 - 0.99 = 0.01
To find the value of x
Looking for the probability 0.01 in standard normal table to
calculate Z score = -2.3263
Z = ( X - µ ) / ( σ / √(n) )
-2.3263 = ( X - 2 ) / (0.05/√(25))
X = 1.9767
P ( X >= 1.9767 ) = 0.99
Part e)
X ~ N ( µ = 2 , σ = 0.05 )
P ( a < X < b ) = 0.99
Dividing the area 0.99 in two parts we get 0.99/2 = 0.495
since 0.5 area in normal curve is above and below the mean
Area below the mean is a = 0.5 - 0.495
Area above the mean is b = 0.5 + 0.495
Looking for the probability 0.005 in standard normal table to
calculate Z score = -2.5758
Looking for the probability 0.995 in standard normal table to
calculate Z score = 2.5758
Z = ( X - µ ) / ( σ / √(n) )
-2.5758 = ( X - 2 ) / ( 0.05/√(25) )
a = 1.9742
2.5758 = ( X - 2 ) / ( 0.05/√(25) )
b = 2.0258
P ( 1.9742 < X < 2.0258 ) = 0.99