In: Statistics and Probability
2. (20pts) In industrial selling, negotiation costs represent a significant percentage of a firm’s sales since the seller must formulate a sales strategy before negotiating with a business or governmental client. Several researchers Interviewed 500 firms involved in industrial selling and found their average negotiation cost per transaction to be $11,336 with a standard deviation of $1,951. What is the point estimate of the average negotiation cost per transaction for all industrial sellers? What are the lower and upper limits of a 90% confidence interval?
Solution:
Given that,
Sample size = n = 500
Sample mean = = 11336
Sample SD = s = 1951
1)
What is the point estimate of the average negotiation cost per transaction for all industrial sellers?
Sample mean is the point estimate of the population mean
So ,
$11,336
2)
Note that, Population standard deviation() is unknown..So we use t distribution.
Our aim is to construct 90% confidence interval.
c = 0.90
= 1- c = 1- 0.90 = 0.10
/2 = 0.10 2 = 0.05
Also, d.f = n - 1 = 500 - 1 = 499
= = 0.05,499 = 1.648
( use t table or t calculator to find this value..)
The margin of error is given by
E = /2,d.f. * (s / n)
= 1.648 * (1951 / 500)
= 143.79026185
Now , confidence interval for mean() is given by:
( - E ) < < ( + E)
(11336 - 143.79026185) < < (11336 + 143.79026185)
11192.2097382 < < 11479.7902619
Required 90% confidence interval is (11192.2097382 , 11479.7902619)