Question

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An insurance company has three types of annuity products: indexed annuity, fixed annuity, and variable annuity....

An insurance company has three types of annuity products: indexed annuity, fixed annuity, and variable annuity. You are given:

  • None of the customers have both fixed annuity and variable annuity.
  • 40% of the customers with fixed annuity also have indexed annuity.
  • Half of the customers with two annuity products have variable annuity.
  • 60% of the customers have indexed annuity.
  • The number of customers who have only the variable annuity is the same as the number of customers who have two annuity products.
  • All customers have at least one type of annuity.

Determine the proportion of the customers who only have the indexed annuity.

    Solutions

    Expert Solution

    Let I, F and V denote the event of a customer having Indexed annuity, fixed annuity and variable annuity respectively

    P(F and V) = 0

    Thus, P(V and F and I) = 0

    P(I | F) = 0.4

    -> P(I and F)/P(F) = 0.4

    -> P(F) = 2.5P(I and F)

    P(V and I and not F) = 0.5{P(V and I and not F) + P(I and F and not V) + P(F and V and not I)}

    -> P(V and I and not F) = P(I and F and not V)

    -> P(V and I) = P(I and F) (since P(V and F and I) = 0)

    P(I) = 0.6

    P(V only) = P(V and I) + P(I and F)

    = 2P(I and F)

    P(V) = P(V only) + P(V and I) + P(V and F) - P(V and F and I)

    = 2P(I and F) + P(I and F) = 3P(I and F)

    P(V or I or F) = 1

    -> P(V) + P(I) + P(F) - P(V and I) - P(I and F) - P(F and V) + P(F and V and I) = 1

    -> 3P(I and F) + 0.6 + 2.5P(I and F) - P(I and F) - P(I and F) = 1

    -> 3.5P(I and F) = 0.4

    -> P(I and F) = 4/35

    P(I only) = P(I) - P(V and I) - P(I and F)

    = P(I) - 2P(I and F)

    The proportion of the customers who only have the indexed annuity = 13/35


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