In: Finance
Q7. General Electric Corp. (GE) paid cash dividends totaling $0.57 per share in 2000. Over the previous three years, GE's dividends grew at an annual rate of 15.4 per-cent. Assume that this growth rate will continue for five more years, after which dividend growth will revert to a normal annual rate of 8 percent into perpetuity. Also assume that the appropriate discount rate for GE is 11 percent. a. Compute the value of GE's stock at year-end 2000. b. The actual price of GE stock at year-end 2000 was $47.9375. Comparing this price to your calculation of GE's value in (a), was GE overpriced or underpriced at year-end 2000?
a: Dividends for next 6 years are as below
Year | Dividends |
2001 | 0.6578 |
2002 | 0.7591 |
2003 | 0.8760 |
2004 | 1.0109 |
2005 | 1.1666 |
2006 | 1.2599 |
Horizon value at end of 2005 = D2006/(Required rate - growth)
= 1.2599/ (11%-8%)
=41.9959
Share price = discounted value of all the cash flows = $28.13
Since the market price is much higher, the stock is overpriced.
WORKINGS
Year | Dividends | Horizon value | Netcash flow |
2001 | 0.6578 | 0.6578 | |
2002 | 0.7591 | 0.7591 | |
2003 | 0.8760 | 0.8760 | |
2004 | 1.0109 | 1.0109 | |
2005 | 1.1666 | 41.9959 | 43.1624 |
2006 | 1.2599 | ||
Share price | $28.13 |