In: Statistics and Probability
10. A researcher claims that the mean rate of individuals below poverty in the City of Chicago is below 17 %. Based on the data represented for the years 2005 – 2011, perform a hypothesis test to test his claim using a significance level of α = 0.10.
11. Would your conclusion change for question 10 if you used a significance level of α = 0.05? Explain.
12. A survey conducted at Chicago Public Schools (CPS) involving high school students on whether they had participated in binged drinking during the past month. Binge drinking was defined as 5 or more drinks in a row on one or more of the past 30 days.
Number who identified as having participated in Binge Drinking. |
72 |
Total participants |
567 |
a. From the sample data is there evidence that the proportion of students who participate in binge drinking is greater than 10%? Write a null and alternative hypothesis and perform an appropriate significance test using α=0.05.
b. Construct a 90% Confidence Interval for the population proportion. Does it support the same conclusion as in 12a? Explain.
Community Area | Community Area Name | Below Poverty Level | Crowded Housing | Dependency | No High School Diploma | Per Capita Income | Unemployment |
1 | Rogers Park | 22.7 | 7.9 | 28.8 | 18.1 | 23714 | 7.5 |
2 | West Ridge | 15.1 | 7 | 38.3 | 19.6 | 21375 | 7.9 |
3 | Uptown | 22.7 | 4.6 | 22.2 | 13.6 | 32355 | 7.7 |
4 | Lincoln Square | 9.5 | 3.1 | 25.6 | 12.5 | 35503 | 6.8 |
5 | North Center | 7.1 | 0.2 | 25.5 | 5.4 | 51615 | 4.5 |
6 | Lake View | 10.5 | 1.2 | 16.5 | 2.9 | 58227 | 4.7 |
7 | Lincoln Park | 11.8 | 0.6 | 20.4 | 4.3 | 71403 | 4.5 |
8 | Near North Side | 13.4 | 2 | 23.3 | 3.4 | 87163 | 5.2 |
9 | Edison Park | 5.1 | 0.6 | 36.6 | 8.5 | 38337 | 7.4 |
10 | Norwood Park | 5.9 | 2.3 | 40.6 | 13.5 | 31659 | 7.3 |
11 | Jefferson Park | 6.4 | 1.9 | 34.4 | 13.5 | 27280 | 9 |
12 | Forest Glen | 6.1 | 1.3 | 40.6 | 6.3 | 41509 | 5.5 |
13 | North Park | 12.4 | 3.8 | 39.7 | 18.2 | 24941 | 7.5 |
14 | Albany Park | 17.1 | 11.2 | 32.1 | 34.9 | 20355 | 9 |
15 | Portage Park | 12.3 | 4.4 | 34.6 | 18.7 | 23617 | 10.6 |
16 | Irving Park | 10.8 | 5.6 | 31.6 | 22 | 26713 | 10.3 |
17 | Dunning | 8.3 | 4.8 | 34.9 | 18 | 26347 | 8.6 |
18 | Montclaire | 12.8 | 5.8 | 35 | 28.4 | 21257 | 10.8 |
19 | Belmont Cragin | 18.6 | 10 | 36.9 | 37 | 15246 | 11.5 |
20 | Hermosa | 19.1 | 8.4 | 36.3 | 41.9 | 15411 | 12.9 |
21 | Avondale | 14.6 | 5.8 | 30.4 | 25.7 | 20489 | 9.3 |
22 | Logan Square | 17.2 | 3.2 | 26.7 | 18.5 | 29026 | 7.5 |
23 | Humboldt Park | 32.6 | 11.2 | 38.3 | 36.8 | 13391 | 12.3 |
24 | West Town | 15.7 | 2 | 22.9 | 13.4 | 39596 | 6 |
25 | Austin | 27 | 5.7 | 39 | 25 | 15920 | 21 |
26 | West Garfield Park | 40.3 | 8.9 | 42.5 | 26.2 | 10951 | 25.2 |
27 | East Garfield Park | 39.7 | 7.5 | 43.2 | 26.2 | 13596 | 16.4 |
28 | Near West Side | 21.6 | 3.8 | 22.9 | 11.2 | 41488 | 10.7 |
29 | North Lawndale | 38.6 | 7.2 | 40.9 | 30.4 | 12548 | 18.5 |
30 | South Lawndale | 28.1 | 17.6 | 33.1 | 58.7 | 10697 | 11.5 |
31 | Lower West Side | 27.2 | 10.4 | 35.2 | 44.3 | 15467 | 13 |
32 | Loop | 11.1 | 2 | 15.5 | 3.4 | 67699 | 4.2 |
33 | Near South Side | 11.1 | 1.4 | 21 | 7.1 | 60593 | 5.7 |
34 | Armour Square | 35.8 | 5.9 | 37.9 | 37.5 | 16942 | 11.6 |
35 | Douglas | 26.1 | 1.6 | 31 | 16.9 | 23098 | 16.7 |
36 | Oakland | 38.1 | 3.5 | 40.5 | 17.6 | 19312 | 26.6 |
37 | Fuller Park | 55.5 | 4.5 | 38.2 | 33.7 | 9016 | 40 |
38 | Grand Boulevard | 28.3 | 2.7 | 41.7 | 19.4 | 22056 | 20.6 |
39 | Kenwood | 23.1 | 2.3 | 34.2 | 10.8 | 37519 | 11 |
40 | Washington Park | 39.1 | 4.9 | 40.9 | 28.3 | 13087 | 23.2 |
41 | Hyde Park | 18.2 | 2.5 | 26.7 | 5.3 | 39243 | 6.9 |
42 | Woodlawn | 28.3 | 1.8 | 37.6 | 17.9 | 18928 | 17.3 |
43 | South Shore | 31.5 | 2.9 | 37.6 | 14.9 | 18366 | 17.7 |
44 | Chatham | 25.3 | 2.2 | 40 | 13.7 | 20320 | 19 |
45 | Avalon Park | 16.7 | 0.6 | 41.9 | 13.3 | 23495 | 16.6 |
46 | South Chicago | 28 | 5.9 | 43.1 | 28.2 | 15393 | 17.7 |
47 | Burnside | 22.5 | 5.5 | 40.4 | 18.6 | 13756 | 23.4 |
48 | Calumet Heights | 12 | 1.8 | 42.3 | 11.2 | 28977 | 17.2 |
49 | Roseland | 19.5 | 3.1 | 40.9 | 17.4 | 17974 | 17.8 |
50 | Pullman | 20.1 | 1.4 | 42 | 15.6 | 19007 | 21 |
51 | South Deering | 24.5 | 6 | 41.4 | 21.9 | 15506 | 11.8 |
52 | East Side | 18.7 | 8.3 | 42.5 | 35.5 | 15347 | 14.5 |
53 | West Pullman | 24.3 | 3.3 | 42.2 | 22.6 | 16228 | 17 |
54 | Riverdale | 61.4 | 5.1 | 50.2 | 24.6 | 8535 | 26.4 |
55 | Hegewisch | 12.1 | 4.4 | 41.6 | 17.9 | 22561 | 9.6 |
56 | Garfield Ridge | 9 | 2.6 | 39.5 | 19.4 | 24684 | 8.1 |
57 | Archer Heights | 13 | 8.5 | 40.5 | 36.4 | 16145 | 14.2 |
58 | Brighton Park | 23 | 13.2 | 39.8 | 48.2 | 13138 | 11.2 |
59 | McKinley Park | 16.1 | 6.9 | 33.7 | 31.8 | 17577 | 11.9 |
60 | Bridgeport | 17.3 | 4.8 | 32.3 | 25.6 | 24969 | 11.2 |
61 | New City | 30.6 | 12.2 | 42 | 42.4 | 12524 | 17.4 |
62 | West Elsdon | 9.8 | 8.7 | 38.7 | 39.6 | 16938 | 13.5 |
63 | Gage Park | 20.8 | 17.4 | 40.4 | 54.1 | 12014 | 14 |
64 | Clearing | 5.9 | 3.4 | 36.4 | 18.5 | 23920 | 9.6 |
65 | West Lawn | 15.3 | 6.8 | 41.9 | 33.4 | 15898 | 7.8 |
66 | Chicago Lawn | 22.2 | 6.5 | 40 | 31.6 | 14405 | 11.9 |
67 | West Englewood | 32.3 | 6.9 | 40.9 | 30.3 | 10559 | 34.7 |
68 | Englewood | 42.2 | 4.8 | 43.4 | 29.4 | 11993 | 21.3 |
69 | Greater Grand Crossing | 25.6 | 4.2 | 42.9 | 17.9 | 17213 | 18.9 |
70 | Ashburn | 9.5 | 4.2 | 36.7 | 18.3 | 22078 | 8.8 |
71 | Auburn Gresham | 24.5 | 4.1 | 42.1 | 19.5 | 16022 | 24.2 |
72 | Beverly | 5.2 | 0.7 | 38.7 | 5.1 | 40107 | 7.8 |
73 | Washington Heights | 15.7 | 1.1 | 42.4 | 15.6 | 19709 | 18.3 |
74 | Mount Greenwood | 3.1 | 1.1 | 37 | 4.5 | 34221 | 6.9 |
75 | Morgan Park | 13.7 | 0.8 | 39.4 | 10.9 | 26185 | 14.9 |
76 | O'Hare | 9.5 | 1.9 | 26.5 | 11 | 29402 | 4.7 |
77 | Edgewater | 16.6 | 3.9 | 23.4 | 9 | 33364 | 9 |
Note : Allowed to solve only one question per post.
10. A researcher claims that the mean rate of individuals below poverty in the City of Chicago is below 17 %. Based on the data represented for the years 2005 – 2011, perform a hypothesis test to test his claim using a significance level of α = 0.10.
Step1 : Put the data in excel and find the mean and standard deviation of the variable Below poverty level.
Step 2 : Hypothesis testing
Ho: the mean poverty level is equal to 17%
H1: the mean poverty level is less than 17%
Hence there is no sufficient evidence to support the claim that the mean rate of individuals below poverty in the City of Chicago is below 17 %
11. Would your conclusion change for question 10 if you used a significance level of α = 0.05? Explain.
No the conclusion will change. The pvalue for the test is 0.99 which is greater than 0.05, hence we fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the the mean poverty level is equal to 17%