Keno: Keno game is a game with 80 numbers 1, 2, … , 80 where 20...

Keno: Keno game is a game with 80 numbers 1, 2, … , 80 where 20 numbered balls out of these 80 numbers will be picked randomly. You can pick 4, 5, 6, or 12 numbers as shown in the attached Keno payoff / odds card.

When you pick 4 numbers, there is this 4-spot special that you place $2.00 in the bet, and you are paid $410 if all your 4 numbers are among the 20 numbers, or your are paid $4.00 if 3 of the 4 numbers are among the 20 numbers chosen from the 80 numbers.

The number of ways of picking 20 numbers from 80 is C(80, 20) = 80! / (60! 20!).

The number of ways that all your 4 numbers are among the 20 numbers is: C(76, 16) (why?) = 76! / (60! 16!).

The probability that your 4 numbers bingo is C(76, 16) / C(80, 20), and the theoretical payoff should be C(80, 20) / C(76, 16) = 80! * 16! / (76! * 20!) = (80 * 79 * 78 * 77 ) / (20 * 19 * 18 * 17 ) = $326.4355…

(6%) Based on this computation, is the payoff fair? Explain!
(6%) The payoff for 3 numbers in your 4 chosen numbers appear in the 20 numbers is $4.00. Is that a fair payoff (how is the number of ways of 3 numbers matching related to the number of ways of 4 numbers matching?)?

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Expert Solution

milcah answered 8 months ago

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