Question

In: Statistics and Probability

An investigative reporter for the Chicago Tribune reports that the average spending by American adults during...

An investigative reporter for the Chicago Tribune reports that the average spending by American adults during the six-day period after Thanksgiving, spanning Black Friday weekend through Cyber Monday, is $100. The population standard deviation (σ) is known to be $20. To verify the report, 100 randomly sampled American adults were surveyed. The sample showed an average spending of $95. Does this show significant evidence that the population average spending differs from $100? Answer this question using a hypothesis test then construct a 95% confidence interval. Does $100 fall within the interval?

Solutions

Expert Solution

Null hypothesis: H0: The average spending by American adults during the six-day period after Thanksgiving, spanning Black Friday weekend through Cyber Monday is $100.

Alternate hypothesis: H1: The average spending by American adults during the six-day period after Thanksgiving, spanning Black Friday weekend through Cyber Monday is differenet from $100.

Appropirate test and level of significance:

As the population standard deviation is known and the sample size is greater than 30, Z-test is the most appropriate test and the level of significance is 5%.

Test statistic:

Observed statistics:

Sample mean

Sample size n = 100

Population standard deviation

Observed test statistic:

Critical values and decision rule:

The test is two sided test and so the upper and lower critical values at 5% level of significance are -1.96 and 1.96 respectively. If the observed test statistic value falls outside this range, it will lead to rejection of null hypothesis.

Conclusion:

The observed test statistic is -2.5 and it falls outside the critical values. So there is significant evidence to conclude that the population average spending differs from $100.

Confidence interval:

The 95% confidence interval for mean is given as

Substitute the relevant values in the above interval.

The value $100 does not fall in this interval. So the rejection of null hypothesis is valid.


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