In: Statistics and Probability
The production of wine is a multibillion-dollar worldwide industry. In an attempt to develop a model of wine quality as judged by wine experts, data was collected from red wine variants. A sample of 20 wines is provided in the accompanying table. Develop a multiple linear regression model to predict wine quality, measured on a scale from 0 (very bad) to 10 (excellent) based on alcohol content (%) and the amount of chlorides. Complete parts a through g below.
Quality   Alcohol_Content(%)  
Chlorides
2   7.7   0.067
1   7.9   0.065
3   8.2   0.074
1   8.7   0.071
2   8.5   0.067
4   8.7   0.074
4   9.4   0.071
3   9.1   0.076
6   10.1   0.077
5   10.4   0.078
7   10.3   0.078
6   11.1   0.083
7   11.3   0.081
8   11.5   0.085
6   11.8   0.095
7   11.3   0.093
7   12.5   0.128
8   11.5   0.111
10   12.2   0.157
10   12.8   0.156
1. Construct a 95% confidence interval estimate for the mean quality rating for wines that have 10% alcohol and 0.08 chlorides.
2. Construct a 95% prediction interval estimate for the quality rating for an individual wine that has 10% alcohol and 0.08 chlorides.
Output using excel:
| Regression Analysis | ||||||
| Regression Statistics | ||||||
| Multiple R | 0.9274 | |||||
| R Square | 0.8601 | |||||
| Adjusted R Square | 0.8437 | |||||
| Standard Error | 1.0906 | |||||
| Observations | 20 | |||||
| ANOVA | ||||||
| df | SS | MS | F | Significance F | ||
| Regression | 2 | 124.3296 | 62.1648 | 52.2641 | 0.0000 | |
| Residual | 17 | 20.2204 | 1.1894 | |||
| Total | 19 | 144.5500 | ||||
| Coefficients | Standard Error | t Stat | P-value | Lower 95% | Upper 95% | |
| Intercept | -9.8600 | 1.7608 | -5.5997 | 0.0000 | -13.5750 | -6.1450 | 
| Alcohol_content | 1.3338 | 0.2542 | 5.2476 | 0.0001 | 0.7976 | 1.8701 | 
| Chlorides | 17.2144 | 14.9375 | 1.1524 | 0.2651 | -14.3010 | 48.7299 | 

1. 95% confidence interval estimate for the mean quality rating for wines that have 10% alcohol and 0.08 chlorides.:
Lower limit = 4.3018
Upper Limit = 5.4094
2. 95% prediction interval estimate for the quality rating for an individual wine that has 10% alcohol and 0.08 chlorides.
Lower limit = 2.4889
Upper Limit = 7.2223