In: Math
The production of wine is a multibillion-dollar worldwide industry. In an attempt to develop a model of wine quality as judged by wine experts, data was collected from red wine variants. A sample of 20 wines is provided in the accompanying table. Develop a multiple linear regression model to predict wine quality, measured on a scale from 0 (very bad) to 10 (excellent) based on alcohol content (%) and the amount of chlorides. Complete parts a through g below. LOADING... Click the icon to view the table. a. State the multiple regression equation. Let Upper X Subscript 1 i represent the alcohol content (%) of wine i and let Upper X Subscript 2 i represent the number of chlorides for wine i. Quality Alcohol_Content(%) Chlorides 0 7.9 0.067 1 7.1 0.062 2 8.9 0.067 2 8.1 0.071 2 8.6 0.073 3 8.9 0.074 2 9.3 0.072 5 9.5 0.077 6 10.4 0.077 7 10.3 0.079 7 10.1 0.083 6 10.9 0.084 7 11.4 0.081 7 11.4 0.084 6 11.9 0.095 9 11.5 0.096 8 11.7 0.119 9 11.5 0.143 10 12.3 0.151 9 12.3 0.159 b. Interpret the meaning of the slopes, b 1 and b 2, in this problem. c. Explain why the regression coefficient, b 0, has no practical meaning in the context of this problem. c. Predict the mean quality rating for wines that have 8% alcohol content and chlorides of 0.10. d. Construct a 95% confidence interval estimate for the mean quality rating for wines that have 8% alcohol and 0.10 chlorides. e. Construct a 95% confidence interval estimate for the mean quality rating for wines that have 8% alcohol and 0.10 chloride Construct a 95% prediction interval estimate for the quality rating for an individual wine that has 8% alcohol and 0.10 chlorides. h. What conclusions can you reach concerning this regression model?
Answer:
The production of wine is a multibillion-dollar worldwide industry. In an attempt to develop a model of wine quality as judged by wine experts, data was collected from red wine variants. A sample of 20 wines is provided in the accompanying table. Develop a multiple linear regression model to predict wine quality, measured on a scale from 0 (very bad) to 10 (excellent) based on alcohol content (%) and the amount of chlorides. Complete parts a through g below. LOADING... Click the icon to view the table. a. State the multiple regression equation. Let Upper X Subscript 1 i represent the alcohol content (%) of wine i and let Upper X Subscript 2 i represent the number of chlorides for wine i.
Quality Alcohol_Content(%) Chlorides
0 7.9 0.067
1 7.1 0.062
2 8.9 0.067
2 8.1 0.071
2 8.6 0.073
3 8.9 0.074
2 9.3 0.072
5 9.5 0.077
6 10.4 0.077
7 10.3 0.079
7 10.1 0.083
6 10.9 0.084
7 11.4 0.081
7 11.4 0.084
6 11.9 0.095
9 11.5 0.096
8 11.7 0.119
9 11.5 0.143
10 12.3 0.151
9 12.3 0.159
Excel Addon Megastat used.
Menu used: correlation/Regression ---- Regression Analysis.
Regression Analysis |
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R² |
0.874 |
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Adjusted R² |
0.859 |
n |
20 |
|||
R |
0.935 |
k |
2 |
|||
Std. Error |
1.153 |
Dep. Var. |
Quality |
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ANOVA table |
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Source |
SS |
df |
MS |
F |
p-value |
|
Regression |
156.2121 |
2 |
78.1060 |
58.78 |
2.31E-08 |
|
Residual |
22.5879 |
17 |
1.3287 |
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Total |
178.8000 |
19 |
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Regression output |
confidence interval |
|||||
variables |
coefficients |
std. error |
t (df=17) |
p-value |
95% lower |
95% upper |
Intercept |
-12.1027 |
1.8734 |
-6.460 |
5.87E-06 |
-16.0553 |
-8.1502 |
Alcohol_Content(%) |
1.5593 |
0.2577 |
6.051 |
1.30E-05 |
1.0157 |
2.1030 |
Chlorides |
17.6127 |
14.0507 |
1.254 |
.2270 |
-12.0316 |
47.2570 |
Predicted values for: Quality |
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95% Confidence Interval |
95% Prediction Interval |
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Alcohol_Content(%) |
Chlorides |
Predicted |
lower |
upper |
lower |
upper |
8 |
0.1 |
2.133 |
0.616 |
3.651 |
-0.733 |
5.000 |
Quality = -12.1027+1.5593* Alcohol_Content(%)+17.6127* Chlorides
b. Interpret the meaning of the slopes, b 1 and b 2, in this problem.
When Alcohol_Content(%) increases by 1 percent, the quality increases by 1.5593.
When Chlorides increases by 1 , the quality increases by 17.6127.
c. Explain why the regression coefficient, b 0, has no practical meaning in the context of this problem.
When there is no Alcohol_Content(%) and Chlorides, the quality is negative value which has no meaning.
c. Predict the mean quality rating for wines that have 8% alcohol content and chlorides of 0.10.
predicted value = 2.133
d. Construct a 95% confidence interval estimate for the mean quality rating for wines that have 8% alcohol and 0.10 chlorides.
95% CI = (0.616, 3.651)
Construct a 95% prediction interval estimate for the quality rating for an individual wine that has 8% alcohol and 0.10 chlorides.
95% PI =(-0.733, 5.000)
h. What conclusions can you reach concerning this regression model?
R square =0.874, 87.4% of variance in quality is explained by the model. The model is useful for predicting quality.