In: Math
The values of Alabama building contracts (in $ millions) for a
12‐month period follow: (19 marks total)
240 350 230 260 280 320 220 310 240 310 240 230
a. Construct a time series plot. What type of pattern exists in the
data?
b. Compare the three‐month moving average approach with the
exponential smoothing forecast using α=0.4. Which
approach provides more accurate forecasts based on MSE?
c. What is the forecast for the next month?
d. Explain how you would find the optimum level of α for this data.
Please answer this question at α=0.4. I have
submission deadline of 3 hrs. Also if possible please post the
solution typed.