In: Finance
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You are an analyst in charge of valuing common stocks. You have been asked to value two stocks. The first stock AB Inc. just paid a dividend of $4.50. The dividend is expected to increase by 60%, 40%, 30% and 10% per year respectively in the next four years. Thereafter the dividend will increase by 4% per year in perpetuity.
The second stock is CD Inc. CD will pay its first dividend of $8 in 5 years. The dividend will increase by 40% per year for the following 3 years after its first dividend payment. Thereafter the dividend will increase by 3% per year in perpetuity.
Both stocks have a required rate of return of 25% per year for the next 2 years, and thereafter the required rate of return will be 10%.
What is the current price of CD?
year | expected dividend = current dividend*(1+growth rate) | expected dividend = current dividend*(1+growth rate) | |
1 | 4.5*1.6 | 7.2 | |
2 | 7.2*1.4 | 10.08 | |
3 | 10.08*1.3 | 13.104 | |
4 | 13.104*1.1 | 14.4144 | |
5 | 14.4144*1.04 | 14.990976 | |
terminal value= expected dividend in year 5/(required return-growth rate) | 14.9909/(10%-4%) | 249.85 | |
Year | cash flow | present value of cash flow/(1+r)^n r= 25% | present value of cash flow/(1+r)^n r= 25% for first 2 years and 10% 2 years onwards |
1 | 7.2 | 7.2/1.25 | 5.76 |
2 | 10.08 | 10.08/1.25^2 | 6.4512 |
3 | 13.104 | 13.104/1.10^1 | 11.91272727 |
4 | 14.4144 | 14.4144/1.10^2 | 11.91272727 |
4 | 71.39 | 249.85/1.10^3 | 187.716003 |
value of stock = sum of present value of cash flow | 223.75 | ||
year | expected dividend = current dividend*(1+growth rate) | expected dividend = current dividend*(1+growth rate) | |
5 | 8 | 8 | |
6 | 8*1.4 | 11.2 | |
7 | 11.2*1.4 | 15.68 | |
8 | 15.68*1.4 | 21.952 | |
9 | 21.952*1.03 | 22.61056 | |
terminal value= expected dividend in year 5/(required return-growth rate) | 22.61056/(10%-3%) | 323.008 | |
Year | cash flow | present value of cash flow/(1+r)^n r= 25% | present value of cash flow/(1+r)^n r= 10% |
5 | 8 | 8/1.1^5 | 4.967370584 |
6 | 11.2 | 11.2/1.1^6 | 6.322108017 |
7 | 15.68 | 15.68/1.10^7 | 8.046319294 |
8 | 21.952 | 21.952/1.10^8 | 10.24077001 |
8 | 323.008 | 323.008/1.10^8 | 150.6856159 |
value of stock = sum of present value of cash flow | 180.26 |